CME Stock Forward View - Value At Risk
| CME Stock | USD 289.83 0.77 0.27% |
CME Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CME stock prices and determine the direction of CME Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CME's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The RSI of CME's stock price is about 62 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CME, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.6601 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.1795 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.7206 | Wall Street Target Price 289.7143 |
Using CME hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CME Group from the perspective of CME response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CME using CME's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CME using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CME's stock price.
CME Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CME's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CME. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CME stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 272.8702 | Short Percent 0.0118 | Short Ratio 2.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 274.8634 |
CME Relative Strength Index
CME Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CME's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CME. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CME can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CME Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CME's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CME.
CME Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
CME's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CME Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CME's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CME stock will not fluctuate a lot when CME's options are near their expiration.
CME after-hype prediction price | USD 289.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CME to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CME contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CME Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CME trading at USD 289.83, that is roughly USD 0.0652 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CME's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CME Group options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CME Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CME's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CME's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CME stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CME's open interest, investors have to compare it to CME's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CME is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CME. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CME Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CME price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CME using various technical indicators. When you analyze CME charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check CME Volatility | Backtest CME | Information Ratio |
CME Trading Date Momentum
| On January 31 2026 CME Group was traded for 289.83 at the closing time. Highest CME's price during the trading hours was 291.76 and the lowest price during the day was 286.55 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 31st of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.02% . |
| Compare CME to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for CME
For every potential investor in CME, whether a beginner or expert, CME's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CME Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CME. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CME's price trends.CME Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CME stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CME could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CME by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CME Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CME stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CME shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CME stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CME Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CME Risk Indicators
The analysis of CME's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CME's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cme stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9271 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Variance | 1.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CME
The number of cover stories for CME depends on current market conditions and CME's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CME is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CME's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CME Short Properties
CME's future price predictability will typically decrease when CME's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CME Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CME's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CME's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 359.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CME to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Will Financial Exchanges & Data sector continue expanding? Could CME diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CME. Projected growth potential of CME fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CME data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0) | Dividend Share 4.9 | Earnings Share 10.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
CME Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on CME's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate CME's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since CME's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CME's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CME should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, CME's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.