Copley Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| COPL Stock | 10.21 0.09 0.87% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Copley Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.03. Copley Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Copley Acquisition's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Copley Acquisition, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Copley Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Copley Acquisition Corp from the perspective of Copley Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Copley Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.03. Copley Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 10.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Copley Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. Copley Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Copley price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Copley using various technical indicators. When you analyze Copley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Copley Acquisition Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Copley Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Copley Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Copley Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Copley Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Copley Acquisition | Copley Acquisition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Copley Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Copley Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Copley Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.95 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Copley Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Copley Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Copley Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.0324 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0172 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0017 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.0324 |
Predictive Modules for Copley Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copley Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Copley Acquisition
For every potential investor in Copley, whether a beginner or expert, Copley Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Copley Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Copley. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Copley Acquisition's price trends.Copley Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Copley Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Copley Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Copley Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Copley Acquisition Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Copley Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Copley Acquisition's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Copley Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Copley Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Copley Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Copley Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Copley Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.73 |
Copley Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Copley Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Copley Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting copley stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1384 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1906 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2626 | |||
| Variance | 0.069 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1933 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0363 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Shell Companies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Copley Acquisition. If investors know Copley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Copley Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Copley Acquisition Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Copley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Copley Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Copley Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Copley Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Copley Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Copley Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Copley Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Copley Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.