Crescent Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CRGY Stock | USD 8.24 0.27 3.17% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crescent Energy Co on the next trading day is expected to be 8.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.64. Crescent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The value of relative strength index of Crescent Energy's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 89
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.8 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.27 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.736 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4507 | Wall Street Target Price 14.0833 |
Using Crescent Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crescent Energy Co from the perspective of Crescent Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crescent Energy using Crescent Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crescent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crescent Energy's stock price.
Crescent Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Crescent Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Crescent Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Crescent Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.9884 | Short Percent 0.112 | Short Ratio 6.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.7 M | 50 Day MA 8.8216 |
Crescent Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Crescent Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Crescent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Crescent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Crescent Energy Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Crescent Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Crescent Energy.
Crescent Energy Implied Volatility | 1.14 |
Crescent Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crescent Energy Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crescent Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crescent Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crescent Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crescent Energy Co on the next trading day is expected to be 8.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.64. Crescent Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 8.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crescent Energy to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Crescent Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Crescent Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Crescent Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Crescent Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Crescent Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Crescent Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Crescent Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Crescent. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Crescent Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crescent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crescent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crescent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Crescent Energy's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 3.1 M | Current Value 3.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 171.1 M |
Crescent Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crescent Energy Co on the next trading day is expected to be 8.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crescent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crescent Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crescent Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crescent Energy | Crescent Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Crescent Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crescent Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crescent Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.46 and 11.88, respectively. We have considered Crescent Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crescent Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crescent Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5992 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2522 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0287 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.6378 |
Predictive Modules for Crescent Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescent Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Crescent Energy
For every potential investor in Crescent, whether a beginner or expert, Crescent Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crescent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crescent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crescent Energy's price trends.Crescent Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crescent Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crescent Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crescent Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crescent Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crescent Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crescent Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crescent Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crescent Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crescent Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crescent Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crescent Energy Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 895668.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.28) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.27) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 89.82 |
Crescent Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crescent Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crescent Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crescent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.17 | |||
| Variance | 10.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis
When running Crescent Energy's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.