EPWK Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| EPWK Stock | 0.12 0.12 24,900% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EPWK Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be -2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.82. EPWK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although EPWK Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of EPWK Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of EPWK Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of EPWK Holdings' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using EPWK Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EPWK Holdings Ltd from the perspective of EPWK Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
EPWK Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to EPWK Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in EPWK. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding EPWK can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around EPWK Holdings Ltd. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of EPWK Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about EPWK Holdings.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EPWK Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be -2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.82. EPWK Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EPWK Holdings to cross-verify your projections. EPWK Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EPWK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EPWK using various technical indicators. When you analyze EPWK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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EPWK Holdings Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the EPWK Holdings' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 205 K | Current Value 194.8 K | Quarterly Volatility 166.5 K |
EPWK Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EPWK Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be -2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 1.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EPWK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EPWK Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EPWK Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EPWK Holdings | EPWK Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EPWK Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EPWK Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EPWK Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 130.29, respectively. We have considered EPWK Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EPWK Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EPWK Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3001 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.702 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 13.7114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 42.823 |
Predictive Modules for EPWK Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EPWK Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EPWK Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for EPWK Holdings
For every potential investor in EPWK, whether a beginner or expert, EPWK Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EPWK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EPWK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EPWK Holdings' price trends.EPWK Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EPWK Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EPWK Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EPWK Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EPWK Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EPWK Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EPWK Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EPWK Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EPWK Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EPWK Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EPWK Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EPWK Holdings Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
EPWK Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of EPWK Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EPWK Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting epwk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 11.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 20.12 | |||
| Variance | 404.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EPWK Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EPWK Holdings. If investors know EPWK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EPWK Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of EPWK Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EPWK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EPWK Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EPWK Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EPWK Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EPWK Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EPWK Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EPWK Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EPWK Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.