FGI Industries Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FGI Stock | USD 6.43 0.12 1.90% |
FGI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FGI Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of FGI Industries' share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FGI Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.836 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.27) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.70) | Wall Street Target Price 8.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.59 |
Using FGI Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FGI Industries from the perspective of FGI Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
FGI Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FGI Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 6.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.42.FGI Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FGI Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FGI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FGI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FGI Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FGI Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FGI Industries.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FGI Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 6.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.42. FGI Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 7.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FGI Industries to cross-verify your projections. FGI Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze FGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FGI Industries Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FGI Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 6.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FGI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FGI Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FGI Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FGI Industries | FGI Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FGI Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FGI Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FGI Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 14.89, respectively. We have considered FGI Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FGI Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FGI Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0899 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0661 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.4206 |
Predictive Modules for FGI Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FGI Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FGI Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FGI Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FGI Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FGI Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FGI Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FGI Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FGI Industries' historical news coverage. FGI Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.37 and 15.81, respectively. We have considered FGI Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FGI Industries is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FGI Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
FGI Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FGI Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FGI Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FGI Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 8.48 | 0.90 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.43 | 7.33 | 14.00 |
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FGI Industries Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January FGI Industries is traded for 6.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. FGI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 14.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.66%. The volatility of related hype on FGI Industries is about 38545.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.44. FGI Industries has 27.72 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. FGI Industries has a current ratio of 1.34, which is typical for the industry and considered as normal. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for FGI to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FGI Industries to cross-verify your projections.FGI Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FGI Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FGI Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how FGI Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FGI Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATER | Aterian | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.14 | (7.14) | 28.48 | |
| LOBO | LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 13.64 | (11.63) | 47.21 | |
| DSS | DSS Inc | 0.03 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.00 | (6.30) | 22.05 | |
| CENN | Cenntro Electric Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 13.33 | (6.67) | 24.81 | |
| REBN | Reborn Coffee | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.95 | (9.04) | 27.14 | |
| UCAR | U Power Limited | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.79 | (5.00) | 15.91 | |
| AZI | Autozi Internet Technology | 0.35 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 21.43 | (17.65) | 88.70 | |
| SOND | Sonder Holdings | (0.02) | 8 per month | 24.50 | 0.10 | 67.74 | (61.54) | 2,000 | |
| YYGH | YY Group Holding | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.33 | (8.33) | 30.95 | |
| CGTL | Creative Global Technology | (0.12) | 6 per month | 8.54 | 0.22 | 31.58 | (16.47) | 149.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for FGI Industries
For every potential investor in FGI, whether a beginner or expert, FGI Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FGI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FGI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FGI Industries' price trends.FGI Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FGI Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FGI Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FGI Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FGI Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FGI Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FGI Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FGI Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FGI Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FGI Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of FGI Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FGI Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fgi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.29 | |||
| Variance | 68.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 67.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 59.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FGI Industries
The number of cover stories for FGI Industries depends on current market conditions and FGI Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FGI Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FGI Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FGI Industries Short Properties
FGI Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when FGI Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FGI Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FGI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FGI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FGI Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in FGI Stock please use our How to Invest in FGI Industries guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is there potential for Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods market expansion? Will FGI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FGI Industries. Market participants price FGI higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about FGI Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.836 | Earnings Share (2.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate FGI Industries using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating FGI Industries' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause FGI Industries' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FGI Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FGI Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, FGI Industries' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.