Freshworks Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FRSH Stock  USD 11.77  0.15  1.29%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Freshworks on the next trading day is expected to be 11.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.44. Freshworks Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Freshworks' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Freshworks' share price is above 70 as of 6th of January 2026. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Freshworks, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 79

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Freshworks' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Freshworks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Freshworks' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.099
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.6346
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6878
Wall Street Target Price
18.4286
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.1275
Using Freshworks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freshworks from the perspective of Freshworks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freshworks using Freshworks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freshworks using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freshworks' stock price.

Freshworks Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Freshworks' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Freshworks. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Freshworks stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
13.308
Short Percent
0.0621
Short Ratio
4.02
Shares Short Prior Month
15.2 M
50 Day MA
11.9875

Freshworks Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Freshworks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Freshworks. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Freshworks can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Freshworks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Freshworks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Freshworks.

Freshworks Implied Volatility

    
  1.15  
Freshworks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freshworks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freshworks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freshworks stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freshworks' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Freshworks on the next trading day is expected to be 11.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.44.

Freshworks after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freshworks to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Freshworks Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshworks guide.The Freshworks' current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 28.03, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.20. . The Freshworks' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 363.3 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (280.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Freshworks Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Freshworks' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Freshworks' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Freshworks stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Freshworks' open interest, investors have to compare it to Freshworks' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Freshworks is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Freshworks. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Freshworks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Freshworks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freshworks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freshworks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Freshworks - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Freshworks prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Freshworks price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Freshworks.

Freshworks Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Freshworks on the next trading day is expected to be 11.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Freshworks Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Freshworks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Freshworks Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FreshworksFreshworks Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Freshworks Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Freshworks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Freshworks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.75 and 13.58, respectively. We have considered Freshworks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.77
11.67
Expected Value
13.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Freshworks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Freshworks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0251
MADMean absolute deviation0.1938
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors11.4357
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Freshworks observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Freshworks observations.

Predictive Modules for Freshworks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freshworks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freshworks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6811.6013.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4713.3915.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.2211.8212.43
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.7718.4320.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Freshworks

For every potential investor in Freshworks, whether a beginner or expert, Freshworks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freshworks Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freshworks. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freshworks' price trends.

Freshworks Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freshworks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freshworks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freshworks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Freshworks Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Freshworks' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Freshworks' current price.

Freshworks Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freshworks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freshworks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freshworks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Freshworks entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Freshworks Risk Indicators

The analysis of Freshworks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freshworks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freshworks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Freshworks offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Freshworks' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Freshworks Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Freshworks Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freshworks to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Freshworks Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshworks guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freshworks. If investors know Freshworks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freshworks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.11)
Revenue Per Share
2.736
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.153
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.03)
The market value of Freshworks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freshworks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freshworks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freshworks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freshworks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freshworks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freshworks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freshworks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freshworks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.