Grupo Carso Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GPOVFDelisted Stock | USD 7.21 0.00 0.00% |
Grupo Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Carso's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Grupo Carso's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Grupo Carso hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Carso SAB from the perspective of Grupo Carso response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Carso SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 7.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Grupo Carso after-hype prediction price | USD 7.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grupo |
Grupo Carso Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grupo Carso Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Carso SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 7.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Carso's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grupo Carso Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grupo Carso | Grupo Carso Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Carso pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Carso pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.7637 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0018 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0018 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 3.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.11 |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Carso
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Carso SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Carso's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grupo Carso After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grupo Carso at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Carso or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Grupo Carso, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grupo Carso Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grupo Carso's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Carso's historical news coverage. Grupo Carso's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.21 and 7.21, respectively. We have considered Grupo Carso's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grupo Carso is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Carso SAB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grupo Carso Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Carso is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Carso backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Carso, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.21 | 7.21 | 0.00 |
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Grupo Carso Hype Timeline
Grupo Carso SAB is currently traded for 7.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grupo is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Carso is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.21. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grupo Carso SAB last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2022. The entity had 3:1 split on the 18th of May 2005. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.Grupo Carso Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Carso's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Carso's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Carso's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Carso may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KPELY | Keppel Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.12 | 2.72 | (1.91) | 8.06 | |
| HLMAF | Halma plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.39 | 0.02 | 3.54 | (4.23) | 16.08 | |
| HALMY | Halma PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.03 | 2.08 | (2.17) | 10.77 | |
| APTPF | Airports of Thailand | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PITAF | Poste Italiane SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1.85 | 0.00 | 9.97 | |
| JARLF | Jardine Matheson Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 4.72 | (3.35) | 17.47 | |
| KAJMF | Kajima | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KPELF | Keppel Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | (0.13) | 23.76 | |
| KAJMY | Kajima Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.08 | 4.87 | (3.54) | 23.11 | |
| JMHLY | Jardine Matheson Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.15 | 3.60 | (3.23) | 11.55 |
Grupo Carso Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Carso pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Carso could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Carso by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grupo Carso Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Carso pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Carso shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Carso pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Carso SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Grupo Carso
The number of cover stories for Grupo Carso depends on current market conditions and Grupo Carso's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Carso is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Carso's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Other Consideration for investing in Grupo Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Grupo Carso SAB check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Grupo Carso's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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