Hecla Mining Stock Forward View
| HL Stock | USD 23.44 1.89 8.77% |
Hecla Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Hecla Mining's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hecla Mining's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hecla Mining fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of Hecla Mining's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hecla Mining, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 56.848 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1424 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4024 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9666 | Wall Street Target Price 26.25 |
Using Hecla Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hecla Mining from the perspective of Hecla Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hecla Mining using Hecla Mining's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hecla using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hecla Mining's stock price.
Hecla Mining Short Interest
An investor who is long Hecla Mining may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hecla Mining and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hecla Mining with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.4266 | Short Percent 0.0473 | Short Ratio 1.09 | Shares Short Prior Month 28.1 M | 50 Day MA 20.605 |
Hecla Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hecla Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 17.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.75.Hecla Mining Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hecla Mining's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hecla. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hecla can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hecla Mining. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hecla Mining's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hecla Mining.
Hecla Mining Implied Volatility | 1.35 |
Hecla Mining's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hecla Mining stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hecla Mining's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hecla Mining stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hecla Mining's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hecla Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 17.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.75. Hecla Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 21.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hecla Mining to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hecla contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hecla Mining will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0844% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Hecla Mining trading at USD 23.44, that is roughly USD 0.0198 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hecla Mining's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hecla Mining options at the current volatility level of 1.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Hecla Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hecla Mining's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hecla Mining's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hecla Mining stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hecla Mining's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hecla Mining's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hecla Mining is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hecla. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hecla Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hecla price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hecla using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hecla charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hecla Mining Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Hecla Mining's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 296.6 M | Current Value 133.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 97.6 M |
Hecla Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hecla Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 17.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09, mean absolute percentage error of 1.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hecla Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hecla Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hecla Mining Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hecla Mining | Hecla Mining Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hecla Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hecla Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hecla Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.77 and 22.93, respectively. We have considered Hecla Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hecla Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hecla Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7464 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0943 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0557 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.7531 |
Predictive Modules for Hecla Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hecla Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hecla Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hecla Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hecla Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hecla Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hecla Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hecla Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hecla Mining's historical news coverage. Hecla Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.77 and 26.93, respectively. We have considered Hecla Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hecla Mining is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hecla Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hecla Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hecla Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hecla Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hecla Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.03 | 5.08 | 1.59 | 0.26 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.44 | 21.85 | 6.78 |
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Hecla Mining Hype Timeline
As of February 4, 2026 Hecla Mining is listed for 23.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. Hecla is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -6.78%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.03%. The volatility of related hype on Hecla Mining is about 1984.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.18. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 155.67. Hecla Mining last dividend was issued on the 24th of November 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 25th of March 1981. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hecla Mining to cross-verify your projections.Hecla Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hecla Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hecla Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Hecla Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hecla Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CDE | Coeur Mining | (2.22) | 11 per month | 4.41 | 0.06 | 6.67 | (5.71) | 29.29 | |
| EQX | Equinox Gold Corp | (1.10) | 39 per month | 3.26 | 0.14 | 7.15 | (5.39) | 20.51 | |
| SBSW | Sibanye Gold Ltd | 0.24 | 9 per month | 4.07 | 0.19 | 6.94 | (5.35) | 24.48 | |
| OR | Osisko Gold Ro | 1.29 | 7 per month | 2.84 | 0.12 | 4.10 | (3.18) | 19.93 | |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | (0.08) | 11 per month | 3.65 | 0.11 | 6.39 | (5.83) | 20.68 | |
| IAG | IAMGold | (0.80) | 8 per month | 3.24 | 0.21 | 7.53 | (5.22) | 28.42 | |
| ICL | ICL Israel Chemicals | 0.07 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.07 | (3.62) | 18.08 | |
| MOS | The Mosaic | 0.34 | 10 per month | 2.39 | (0.01) | 4.05 | (4.97) | 11.69 | |
| NGD | New Gold | (0.37) | 11 per month | 3.77 | 0.15 | 6.67 | (4.72) | 29.39 | |
| WLK | Westlake Chemical | 0.07 | 6 per month | 2.24 | 0.11 | 5.71 | (3.82) | 11.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hecla Mining
For every potential investor in Hecla, whether a beginner or expert, Hecla Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hecla Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hecla. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hecla Mining's price trends.Hecla Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hecla Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hecla Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hecla Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hecla Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hecla Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hecla Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hecla Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hecla Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hecla Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hecla Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hecla Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hecla stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.16 | |||
| Variance | 26.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hecla Mining
The number of cover stories for Hecla Mining depends on current market conditions and Hecla Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hecla Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hecla Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hecla Mining Short Properties
Hecla Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hecla Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hecla Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hecla Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hecla Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 622.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hecla Mining to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Hecla Stock please use our How to buy in Hecla Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hecla Mining. Market participants price Hecla higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Hecla Mining assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 56.848 | Dividend Share 0.015 | Earnings Share 0.31 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.671 |
The market value of Hecla Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hecla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hecla Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hecla Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hecla Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hecla Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hecla Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hecla Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Hecla Mining's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.