Healthcare Realty Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HR Stock | USD 16.34 0.40 2.39% |
Healthcare Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Healthcare Realty's share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Healthcare Realty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Healthcare Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthcare Realty Trust from the perspective of Healthcare Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Healthcare Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 16.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.61. Healthcare Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 16.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Healthcare | Build AI portfolio with Healthcare Stock |
Healthcare Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Healthcare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthcare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthcare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Healthcare Realty Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Healthcare Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 16.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Healthcare Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Healthcare Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Healthcare Realty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Healthcare Realty | Healthcare Realty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Healthcare Realty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Healthcare Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Healthcare Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.33 and 17.35, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Healthcare Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Healthcare Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8128 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0192 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1435 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0082 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.61 |
Predictive Modules for Healthcare Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Healthcare Realty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Healthcare Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Healthcare Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Healthcare Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Healthcare Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Healthcare Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Healthcare Realty's historical news coverage. Healthcare Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.33 and 17.35, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Healthcare Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Healthcare Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Healthcare Realty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Healthcare Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Healthcare Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Healthcare Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 17 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.34 | 16.34 | 0.00 |
|
Healthcare Realty Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 Healthcare Realty Trust is listed for 16.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Healthcare is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Healthcare Realty is about 6733.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.34. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Healthcare Realty Trust recorded a loss per share of 1.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The firm had 1:2 split on the 16th of December 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthcare Realty to cross-verify your projections.Healthcare Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Healthcare Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Healthcare Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Healthcare Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Healthcare Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT | 0.07 | 12 per month | 1.03 | 0.07 | 1.64 | (1.80) | 4.31 | |
| AHR | American Healthcare REIT | 0.07 | 6 per month | 1.33 | 0.02 | 2.60 | (2.64) | 7.94 | |
| FR | First Industrial Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | 0.04 | 1.93 | (1.43) | 4.65 | |
| TRNO | Terreno Realty | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.99 | 0.07 | 2.22 | (1.77) | 5.89 | |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust | 0.07 | 6 per month | 0.89 | (0.05) | 1.75 | (1.44) | 4.49 | |
| STAG | STAG Industrial | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.18 | (1.35) | 3.62 | |
| OPEN | Opendoor Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.50 | (9.06) | 33.18 | |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.10 | 2.15 | (1.62) | 5.69 | |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | (0.06) | 1.36 | (1.71) | 4.72 | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.88 | (2.85) | 9.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Healthcare Realty
For every potential investor in Healthcare, whether a beginner or expert, Healthcare Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Healthcare Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Healthcare. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Healthcare Realty's price trends.Healthcare Realty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Healthcare Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Healthcare Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Healthcare Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Healthcare Realty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Healthcare Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Healthcare Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Healthcare Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Healthcare Realty Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Healthcare Realty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Healthcare Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Healthcare Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting healthcare stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8064 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Healthcare Realty
The number of cover stories for Healthcare Realty depends on current market conditions and Healthcare Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Healthcare Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Healthcare Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Healthcare Realty Short Properties
Healthcare Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Healthcare Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Healthcare Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Healthcare Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 365.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.9 M |
Additional Tools for Healthcare Stock Analysis
When running Healthcare Realty's price analysis, check to measure Healthcare Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healthcare Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Healthcare Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healthcare Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healthcare Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healthcare Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.