Aberdeen Select Mutual Fund Forward View

JIEIXDelisted Fund  USD 29.95  0.00  0.00%   
Aberdeen Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Aberdeen Select's mutual fund price is slightly above 60. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aberdeen, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aberdeen Select's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aberdeen Select International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aberdeen Select hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aberdeen Select International from the perspective of Aberdeen Select response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aberdeen Select International on the next trading day is expected to be 29.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.54.

Aberdeen Select after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 29.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Aberdeen Select Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Aberdeen Select is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aberdeen Select International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aberdeen Select Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aberdeen Select International on the next trading day is expected to be 29.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aberdeen Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aberdeen Select's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aberdeen Select Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aberdeen Select  Aberdeen Select Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aberdeen Select mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aberdeen Select mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.302
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1891
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0065
SAESum of the absolute errors11.5363
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aberdeen Select International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aberdeen Select. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Select

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Select Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9529.9529.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.4827.4832.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.3329.2030.08
Details

Aberdeen Select After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aberdeen Select at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aberdeen Select or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Aberdeen Select, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aberdeen Select Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aberdeen Select's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aberdeen Select's historical news coverage. Aberdeen Select's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.95 and 29.95, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Select's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.95
29.95
After-hype Price
29.95
Upside
Aberdeen Select is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aberdeen Select Inte is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aberdeen Select Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Aberdeen Select is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aberdeen Select backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aberdeen Select, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.95
29.95
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Aberdeen Select Hype Timeline

Aberdeen Select Inte is currently traded for 29.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aberdeen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Select is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Aberdeen Select Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aberdeen Select's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aberdeen Select's future price movements. Getting to know how Aberdeen Select's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aberdeen Select may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Aberdeen Select Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aberdeen Select mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aberdeen Select could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aberdeen Select by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aberdeen Select Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aberdeen Select mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aberdeen Select shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aberdeen Select mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Aberdeen Select International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Aberdeen Select

The number of cover stories for Aberdeen Select depends on current market conditions and Aberdeen Select's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aberdeen Select is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aberdeen Select's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Other Consideration for investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Aberdeen Select Inte check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Aberdeen Select's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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