KBR Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KBR Stock  USD 44.01  0.28  0.63%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KBR Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 47.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.38. KBR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although KBR's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of KBR's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of KBR fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of KBR's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of KBR's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of KBR and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from KBR's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with KBR Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting KBR's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.198
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.9992
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.8133
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.0677
Wall Street Target Price
54.1111
Using KBR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KBR Inc from the perspective of KBR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KBR using KBR's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KBR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KBR's stock price.

KBR Short Interest

An investor who is long KBR may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about KBR and may potentially protect profits, hedge KBR with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
47.6219
Short Percent
0.0414
Short Ratio
3.79
Shares Short Prior Month
4.6 M
50 Day MA
42.0264

KBR Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to KBR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in KBR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding KBR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around KBR Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of KBR's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about KBR.

KBR Implied Volatility

    
  0.45  
KBR's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KBR Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KBR's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KBR stock will not fluctuate a lot when KBR's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KBR Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 47.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.38.

KBR after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 44.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KBR to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, KBR's Fixed Asset Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/13/2026, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.61, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 622.42. . As of 01/13/2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 354.4 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 116.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 KBR Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KBR's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KBR's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KBR stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KBR's open interest, investors have to compare it to KBR's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KBR is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KBR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

KBR Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine KBR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KBR using various technical indicators. When you analyze KBR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

KBR Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the KBR's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2004-12-31
Previous Quarter
285 M
Current Value
539 M
Quarterly Volatility
423.3 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for KBR is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of KBR Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

KBR Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of KBR Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 47.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KBR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KBR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KBR Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest KBRKBR Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

KBR Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KBR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KBR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.66 and 49.55, respectively. We have considered KBR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
44.01
47.61
Expected Value
49.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KBR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KBR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.135
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8751
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0208
SAESum of the absolute errors53.3814
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of KBR Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict KBR. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for KBR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KBR Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.2444.1946.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.7848.6150.56
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.2454.1160.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.900.950.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KBR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KBR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KBR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KBR Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for KBR

For every potential investor in KBR, whether a beginner or expert, KBR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KBR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KBR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KBR's price trends.

View KBR Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

KBR Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KBR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KBR's current price.

KBR Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KBR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KBR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KBR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KBR Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KBR Risk Indicators

The analysis of KBR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KBR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kbr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with KBR

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if KBR position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in KBR will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against KBR Stock

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  0.38MG Mistras GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to KBR could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace KBR when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back KBR - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling KBR Inc to buy it.
The correlation of KBR is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as KBR moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if KBR Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for KBR can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for KBR Stock Analysis

When running KBR's price analysis, check to measure KBR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KBR is operating at the current time. Most of KBR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KBR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KBR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KBR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.