Kilroy Realty Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KRC Stock | USD 34.48 0.15 0.44% |
Kilroy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kilroy Realty stock prices and determine the direction of Kilroy Realty Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kilroy Realty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Kilroy Realty's share price is approaching 30. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kilroy Realty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kilroy Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kilroy Realty Corp from the perspective of Kilroy Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kilroy Realty Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 34.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.85. Kilroy Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 34.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kilroy Realty to cross-verify your projections. Kilroy Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kilroy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kilroy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kilroy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kilroy Realty Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kilroy Realty Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 34.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kilroy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kilroy Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kilroy Realty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kilroy Realty | Kilroy Realty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kilroy Realty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kilroy Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kilroy Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.11 and 35.85, respectively. We have considered Kilroy Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kilroy Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kilroy Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0988 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1195 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4308 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.85 |
Predictive Modules for Kilroy Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kilroy Realty Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kilroy Realty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kilroy Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kilroy Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kilroy Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kilroy Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kilroy Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kilroy Realty's historical news coverage. Kilroy Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.11 and 35.85, respectively. We have considered Kilroy Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kilroy Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kilroy Realty Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kilroy Realty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kilroy Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kilroy Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kilroy Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.48 | 34.48 | 0.00 |
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Kilroy Realty Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Kilroy Realty Corp is traded for 34.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kilroy is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kilroy Realty is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.48. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kilroy Realty Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The firm had 5:7 split on the 22nd of February 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kilroy Realty to cross-verify your projections.Kilroy Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kilroy Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kilroy Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Kilroy Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kilroy Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.04 | 2.10 | (1.78) | 5.39 | |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.89 | (2.57) | 6.78 | |
| SLG | SL Green Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.57 | (3.23) | 10.73 | |
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.30 | (1.74) | 6.35 | |
| HHH | Howard Hughes Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.02 | 2.69 | (2.12) | 17.67 | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.88 | (2.85) | 9.20 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 2.04 | (1.61) | 5.40 | |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.04 | 1.94 | (1.30) | 7.18 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.1 | 2.03 | (1.60) | 6.05 | |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.92 | (2.07) | 7.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kilroy Realty
For every potential investor in Kilroy, whether a beginner or expert, Kilroy Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kilroy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kilroy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kilroy Realty's price trends.Kilroy Realty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kilroy Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kilroy Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kilroy Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kilroy Realty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kilroy Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kilroy Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kilroy Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kilroy Realty Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kilroy Realty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kilroy Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kilroy Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kilroy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kilroy Realty
The number of cover stories for Kilroy Realty depends on current market conditions and Kilroy Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kilroy Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kilroy Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kilroy Realty Short Properties
Kilroy Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kilroy Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kilroy Realty Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kilroy Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kilroy Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 193.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kilroy Realty to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Kilroy diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kilroy Realty. Expected growth trajectory for Kilroy significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Kilroy Realty data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Kilroy Realty Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Kilroy's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Kilroy Realty's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Kilroy Realty's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Kilroy Realty's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kilroy Realty represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Kilroy Realty's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.