Kimbell Royalty Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

KRP Stock  USD 12.03  0.27  2.30%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kimbell Royalty Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 11.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.69. Kimbell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Kimbell Royalty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kimbell Royalty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kimbell Royalty fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Kimbell Royalty's stock price is slightly above 67. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kimbell, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 67

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kimbell Royalty's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kimbell Royalty Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kimbell Royalty's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.155
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.745
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.67
Wall Street Target Price
17.25
Using Kimbell Royalty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kimbell Royalty Partners from the perspective of Kimbell Royalty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kimbell Royalty using Kimbell Royalty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kimbell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kimbell Royalty's stock price.

Kimbell Royalty Short Interest

An investor who is long Kimbell Royalty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kimbell Royalty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kimbell Royalty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
13.352
Short Percent
0.0121
Short Ratio
1.67
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
12.6638

Kimbell Royalty Partners Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kimbell Royalty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kimbell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kimbell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kimbell Royalty Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kimbell Royalty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kimbell Royalty.

Kimbell Royalty Implied Volatility

    
  0.89  
Kimbell Royalty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kimbell Royalty Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kimbell Royalty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kimbell Royalty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kimbell Royalty's options are near their expiration.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kimbell Royalty Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 11.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.69.

Kimbell Royalty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimbell Royalty to cross-verify your projections.
As of 01/05/2026, Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to -20.34. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 26.12. As of 01/05/2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 140.1 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (10.7 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Kimbell Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kimbell Royalty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kimbell Royalty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kimbell Royalty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kimbell Royalty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kimbell Royalty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kimbell Royalty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kimbell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Kimbell Royalty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kimbell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kimbell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kimbell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Kimbell Royalty Partners is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Kimbell Royalty 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kimbell Royalty Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 11.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kimbell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kimbell Royalty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kimbell Royalty Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kimbell RoyaltyKimbell Royalty Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kimbell Royalty Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kimbell Royalty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kimbell Royalty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.56 and 13.36, respectively. We have considered Kimbell Royalty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.03
11.96
Expected Value
13.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kimbell Royalty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kimbell Royalty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.1609
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.03
MADMean absolute deviation0.2052
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors11.695
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Kimbell Royalty. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Kimbell Royalty Partners and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Kimbell Royalty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimbell Royalty Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6212.0213.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8314.7316.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.6911.9412.19
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.7017.2519.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kimbell Royalty

For every potential investor in Kimbell, whether a beginner or expert, Kimbell Royalty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kimbell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kimbell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kimbell Royalty's price trends.

Kimbell Royalty Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kimbell Royalty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kimbell Royalty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kimbell Royalty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kimbell Royalty Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kimbell Royalty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kimbell Royalty's current price.

Kimbell Royalty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kimbell Royalty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kimbell Royalty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kimbell Royalty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kimbell Royalty Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kimbell Royalty Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kimbell Royalty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kimbell Royalty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kimbell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Kimbell Royalty

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Kimbell Royalty position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kimbell Royalty will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Kimbell Stock

  0.66CRC California Resources CorpPairCorr

Moving against Kimbell Stock

  0.78PPERF Bank Mandiri PerseroPairCorr
  0.65EFXT EnerflexPairCorr
  0.58PPERY Bank Mandiri PerseroPairCorr
  0.46MUR Murphy OilPairCorr
  0.35CNX CNX Resources CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Kimbell Royalty could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Kimbell Royalty when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Kimbell Royalty - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Kimbell Royalty Partners to buy it.
The correlation of Kimbell Royalty is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Kimbell Royalty moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Kimbell Royalty Partners moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Kimbell Royalty can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Kimbell Stock Analysis

When running Kimbell Royalty's price analysis, check to measure Kimbell Royalty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kimbell Royalty is operating at the current time. Most of Kimbell Royalty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kimbell Royalty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kimbell Royalty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kimbell Royalty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.