Legacy Education Stock Forward View
| LGCY Stock | USD 10.06 0.23 2.34% |
Legacy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Legacy Education's share price is at 51. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Legacy Education, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Legacy Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Legacy Education from the perspective of Legacy Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Legacy Education on the next trading day is expected to be 9.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.46. Legacy Education after-hype prediction price | USD 10.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Legacy Education to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Legacy Stock please use our How to Invest in Legacy Education guide.Legacy Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Legacy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Legacy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Legacy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Legacy Education Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Legacy Education on the next trading day is expected to be 9.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Legacy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Legacy Education's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Legacy Education Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Legacy Education | Legacy Education Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Legacy Education Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Legacy Education's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Legacy Education's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.90 and 13.46, respectively. We have considered Legacy Education's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Legacy Education stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Legacy Education stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7334 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2534 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0261 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.457 |
Predictive Modules for Legacy Education
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legacy Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Legacy Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Legacy Education After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Legacy Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Legacy Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Legacy Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Legacy Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Legacy Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Legacy Education's historical news coverage. Legacy Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.28 and 13.84, respectively. We have considered Legacy Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Legacy Education is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Legacy Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Legacy Education Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Legacy Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Legacy Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Legacy Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.06 | 10.06 | 0.00 |
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Legacy Education Hype Timeline
Legacy Education is now traded for 10.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Legacy is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Legacy Education is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.06. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Legacy Education was now reported as 3.49. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of November 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Legacy Education to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Legacy Stock please use our How to Invest in Legacy Education guide.Legacy Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Legacy Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Legacy Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Legacy Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Legacy Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VSA | TCTM Kids IT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 13.91 | (23.98) | 95.75 | |
| SKIL | Skillsoft Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 13.00 | (11.15) | 39.40 | |
| CHGG | Chegg Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.05 | (9.30) | 38.40 | |
| STG | Sunlands Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.03 | (7.69) | 34.54 | |
| HFFG | Hf Foods Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.65 | (4.89) | 16.37 | |
| HAIN | The Hain Celestial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.60 | 0.02 | 9.40 | (6.25) | 19.76 | |
| GNS | Genius Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.11 | (7.50) | 24.04 | |
| LFS | LEIFRAS Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.75 | 0.1 | 25.93 | (22.92) | 617.95 | |
| LFVN | Lifevantage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.62 | (7.58) | 18.83 | |
| ISPR | Ispire Technology Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.17 | 0.18 | 9.92 | (8.70) | 29.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Legacy Education
For every potential investor in Legacy, whether a beginner or expert, Legacy Education's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Legacy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Legacy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Legacy Education's price trends.Legacy Education Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Legacy Education stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Legacy Education could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Legacy Education by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Legacy Education Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Legacy Education stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Legacy Education shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Legacy Education stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Legacy Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Legacy Education Risk Indicators
The analysis of Legacy Education's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Legacy Education's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting legacy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Variance | 14.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Legacy Education
The number of cover stories for Legacy Education depends on current market conditions and Legacy Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Legacy Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Legacy Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Legacy Education Short Properties
Legacy Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Legacy Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Legacy Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Legacy Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Legacy Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.3 M |
Additional Tools for Legacy Stock Analysis
When running Legacy Education's price analysis, check to measure Legacy Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Legacy Education is operating at the current time. Most of Legacy Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Legacy Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Legacy Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Legacy Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.