LanzaTech Global Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LNZA Stock   15.45  0.72  4.89%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LanzaTech Global on the next trading day is expected to be 17.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.15. LanzaTech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LanzaTech Global stock prices and determine the direction of LanzaTech Global's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LanzaTech Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of LanzaTech Global's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LanzaTech Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LanzaTech Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LanzaTech Global's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(4.03)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(12.74)
Wall Street Target Price
14
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(12.42)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Using LanzaTech Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LanzaTech Global from the perspective of LanzaTech Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LanzaTech Global using LanzaTech Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LanzaTech using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LanzaTech Global's stock price.

LanzaTech Global Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in LanzaTech Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LanzaTech. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LanzaTech Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
23.6322
Short Percent
0.0188
Short Ratio
2.25
Shares Short Prior Month
19.3 K
50 Day MA
15.0391

LanzaTech Global Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to LanzaTech Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LanzaTech. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LanzaTech can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LanzaTech Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LanzaTech Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LanzaTech Global.

LanzaTech Global Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
LanzaTech Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LanzaTech Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LanzaTech Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LanzaTech Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when LanzaTech Global's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LanzaTech Global on the next trading day is expected to be 17.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.15.

LanzaTech Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LanzaTech Global to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade LanzaTech Stock refer to our How to Trade LanzaTech Stock guide.The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.01, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 5.28. . As of January 15, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 2.2 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (108.7 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 LanzaTech Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LanzaTech Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LanzaTech Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LanzaTech Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LanzaTech Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to LanzaTech Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LanzaTech Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LanzaTech. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

LanzaTech Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LanzaTech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LanzaTech using various technical indicators. When you analyze LanzaTech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

LanzaTech Global Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the LanzaTech Global's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
50 M
Current Value
58 M
Quarterly Volatility
17 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for LanzaTech Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LanzaTech Global value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LanzaTech Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LanzaTech Global on the next trading day is expected to be 17.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LanzaTech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LanzaTech Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LanzaTech Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LanzaTech GlobalLanzaTech Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LanzaTech Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LanzaTech Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LanzaTech Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.06 and 23.22, respectively. We have considered LanzaTech Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.45
17.64
Expected Value
23.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LanzaTech Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LanzaTech Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.118
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8549
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0556
SAESum of the absolute errors52.1516
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LanzaTech Global. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LanzaTech Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LanzaTech Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LanzaTech Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3214.9020.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7714.3519.93
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7414.0015.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-3.19-3.19-3.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LanzaTech Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LanzaTech Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LanzaTech Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LanzaTech Global.

Other Forecasting Options for LanzaTech Global

For every potential investor in LanzaTech, whether a beginner or expert, LanzaTech Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LanzaTech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LanzaTech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LanzaTech Global's price trends.

LanzaTech Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LanzaTech Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LanzaTech Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LanzaTech Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LanzaTech Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LanzaTech Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LanzaTech Global's current price.

LanzaTech Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LanzaTech Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LanzaTech Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LanzaTech Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LanzaTech Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LanzaTech Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of LanzaTech Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LanzaTech Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lanzatech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether LanzaTech Global is a strong investment it is important to analyze LanzaTech Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact LanzaTech Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding LanzaTech Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LanzaTech Global to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade LanzaTech Stock refer to our How to Trade LanzaTech Stock guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LanzaTech Global. If investors know LanzaTech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LanzaTech Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(36.59)
Revenue Per Share
18.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.42)
Return On Equity
(6.96)
The market value of LanzaTech Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LanzaTech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LanzaTech Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LanzaTech Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LanzaTech Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LanzaTech Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LanzaTech Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LanzaTech Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LanzaTech Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.