Mesa Air Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
MESA Stock | USD 0.92 0.01 1.08% |
Mesa Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mesa Air stock prices and determine the direction of Mesa Air Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mesa Air's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Mesa Air's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Mesa Air's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mesa Air fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mesa Air to cross-verify your projections. Mesa |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Mesa Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mesa Air's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Mesa Air's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Mesa Air stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mesa Air's open interest, investors have to compare it to Mesa Air's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mesa Air is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mesa. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Mesa Air cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mesa Air's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mesa Air's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Mesa Air is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Mesa Air Group to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Mesa Air trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
7799.11 | 3772.64 |
Check Mesa Air Volatility | Backtest Mesa Air | Information Ratio |
Mesa Air Trading Date Momentum
On April 30 2024 Mesa Air Group was traded for 0.92 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 0.94 and the lowest listed price was 0.90 . The trading volume for the day was 88.7 K. The trading history from April 30, 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.00% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Mesa Air to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Mesa Air
For every potential investor in Mesa, whether a beginner or expert, Mesa Air's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mesa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mesa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mesa Air's price trends.Mesa Air Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mesa Air stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mesa Air could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mesa Air by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mesa Air Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mesa Air's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mesa Air's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Mesa Air Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mesa Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mesa Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mesa Air stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mesa Air Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mesa Air Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mesa Air's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mesa Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mesa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
Standard Deviation | 3.08 | |||
Variance | 9.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mesa Air in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mesa Air's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mesa Air options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mesa Air to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Mesa Stock analysis
When running Mesa Air's price analysis, check to measure Mesa Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mesa Air is operating at the current time. Most of Mesa Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mesa Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mesa Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mesa Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mesa Air's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mesa Air. If investors know Mesa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mesa Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.136 | Earnings Share (3.04) | Revenue Per Share 12.62 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Mesa Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mesa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mesa Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mesa Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mesa Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mesa Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mesa Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mesa Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mesa Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.