Maiden Holdings Stock Forward View
| MHLA Stock | USD 13.16 0.05 0.38% |
Maiden Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Maiden Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Maiden Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Maiden Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Maiden Holdings' share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Maiden Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Maiden Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Maiden Holdings from the perspective of Maiden Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maiden Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.81. Maiden Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 13.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maiden Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Maiden Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Maiden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Maiden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Maiden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Maiden Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Maiden Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2008-03-31 | Previous Quarter 34.7 M | Current Value 44.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 52.8 M |
Maiden Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maiden Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maiden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maiden Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Maiden Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Maiden Holdings | Maiden Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Maiden Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Maiden Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maiden Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.91 and 13.88, respectively. We have considered Maiden Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maiden Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maiden Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8906 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1445 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.8142 |
Predictive Modules for Maiden Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maiden Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maiden Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Maiden Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Maiden Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Maiden Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Maiden Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Maiden Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Maiden Holdings' historical news coverage. Maiden Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.17 and 14.15, respectively. We have considered Maiden Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Maiden Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maiden Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Maiden Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Maiden Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Maiden Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Maiden Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 0.98 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.16 | 13.16 | 0.00 |
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Maiden Holdings Hype Timeline
Maiden Holdings is now traded for 13.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Maiden is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Maiden Holdings is about 398.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.12. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maiden Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Maiden Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Maiden Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Maiden Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Maiden Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Maiden Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRA | ProAssurance | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.20 | (0.16) | 0.38 | (0.41) | 1.04 | |
| ROOT | Root Inc | 1.37 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.33 | (6.51) | 21.60 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.13 | 9 per month | 1.69 | 0.04 | 4.67 | (3.18) | 11.08 | |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | (0.71) | 8 per month | 0.99 | 0.08 | 2.12 | (1.64) | 5.53 | |
| FSCO | FS Credit Opportunities | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.95 | (2.54) | 6.58 | |
| WAFD | Washington Federal | 0.71 | 11 per month | 1.46 | 0.08 | 3.19 | (2.74) | 7.68 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | (2.51) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.96 | (2.99) | 8.72 | |
| SAFT | Safety Insurance Group | 0.34 | 8 per month | 1.09 | 0.11 | 2.22 | (2.07) | 6.16 | |
| BTBT | Bit Digital | (0.03) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.94 | (8.00) | 18.11 | |
| AFG | American Financial Group | (1.77) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.79 | (1.70) | 6.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Maiden Holdings
For every potential investor in Maiden, whether a beginner or expert, Maiden Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maiden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maiden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maiden Holdings' price trends.Maiden Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maiden Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maiden Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maiden Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Maiden Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maiden Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maiden Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maiden Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maiden Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.76 |
Maiden Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Maiden Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maiden Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maiden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7124 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Variance | 1.21 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Maiden Holdings
The number of cover stories for Maiden Holdings depends on current market conditions and Maiden Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Maiden Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Maiden Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Maiden Holdings Short Properties
Maiden Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Maiden Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Maiden Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Maiden Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maiden Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maiden Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Maiden Stock refer to our How to Trade Maiden Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Maiden Holdings. Expected growth trajectory for Maiden significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Maiden Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Dividend Share 0.6 |
The market value of Maiden Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Maiden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Maiden Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Maiden Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Maiden Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Maiden Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Maiden Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Maiden Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Maiden Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.