Mida Leasing Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ML Stock   0.61  0.01  1.61%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mida Leasing Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46. Mida Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mida Leasing stock prices and determine the direction of Mida Leasing Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mida Leasing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mida Leasing to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Mida Leasing cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mida Leasing's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mida Leasing's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Mida Leasing polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Mida Leasing Public as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Mida Leasing Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mida Leasing Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mida Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mida Leasing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mida Leasing Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mida Leasing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mida Leasing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mida Leasing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.08, respectively. We have considered Mida Leasing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.61
0.63
Expected Value
3.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mida Leasing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mida Leasing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8682
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0235
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.036
SAESum of the absolute errors1.46
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Mida Leasing historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Mida Leasing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mida Leasing Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mida Leasing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.613.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.542.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mida Leasing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mida Leasing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mida Leasing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mida Leasing Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Mida Leasing

For every potential investor in Mida, whether a beginner or expert, Mida Leasing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mida Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mida. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mida Leasing's price trends.

Mida Leasing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mida Leasing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mida Leasing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mida Leasing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mida Leasing Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mida Leasing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mida Leasing's current price.

Mida Leasing Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mida Leasing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mida Leasing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mida Leasing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mida Leasing Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mida Leasing Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mida Leasing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mida Leasing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mida stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mida Leasing in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mida Leasing's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mida Leasing options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mida Leasing to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Mida Leasing Public information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mida Leasing's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Mida Stock analysis

When running Mida Leasing's price analysis, check to measure Mida Leasing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mida Leasing is operating at the current time. Most of Mida Leasing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mida Leasing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mida Leasing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mida Leasing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mida Leasing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mida Leasing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mida Leasing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.