Multiplan Empreendimentos Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| MULT3 Stock | BRL 23.89 0.11 0.46% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multiplan Empreendimentos Imobilirios on the next trading day is expected to be 22.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.83. Multiplan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Multiplan Empreendimentos stock prices and determine the direction of Multiplan Empreendimentos Imobilirios's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Multiplan Empreendimentos' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Multiplan Empreendimentos to cross-verify your projections. Multiplan |
Most investors in Multiplan Empreendimentos cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Multiplan Empreendimentos' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Multiplan Empreendimentos' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Multiplan Empreendimentos polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Multiplan Empreendimentos Imobilirios as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Multiplan Empreendimentos Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multiplan Empreendimentos Imobilirios on the next trading day is expected to be 22.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Multiplan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Multiplan Empreendimentos' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Multiplan Empreendimentos Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Multiplan Empreendimentos | Multiplan Empreendimentos Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Multiplan Empreendimentos Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Multiplan Empreendimentos' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Multiplan Empreendimentos' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.51 and 24.22, respectively. We have considered Multiplan Empreendimentos' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Multiplan Empreendimentos stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Multiplan Empreendimentos stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4548 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3579 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.8302 |
Predictive Modules for Multiplan Empreendimentos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multiplan Empreendimentos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multiplan Empreendimentos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Multiplan Empreendimentos
For every potential investor in Multiplan, whether a beginner or expert, Multiplan Empreendimentos' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Multiplan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Multiplan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Multiplan Empreendimentos' price trends.Multiplan Empreendimentos Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Multiplan Empreendimentos stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Multiplan Empreendimentos could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Multiplan Empreendimentos by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Multiplan Empreendimentos Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Multiplan Empreendimentos' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Multiplan Empreendimentos' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Multiplan Empreendimentos Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Multiplan Empreendimentos stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Multiplan Empreendimentos shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Multiplan Empreendimentos stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Multiplan Empreendimentos Imobilirios entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Multiplan Empreendimentos Risk Indicators
The analysis of Multiplan Empreendimentos' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Multiplan Empreendimentos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting multiplan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Multiplan Empreendimentos to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Multiplan Empreendimentos information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Multiplan Empreendimentos' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Multiplan Stock analysis
When running Multiplan Empreendimentos' price analysis, check to measure Multiplan Empreendimentos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Multiplan Empreendimentos is operating at the current time. Most of Multiplan Empreendimentos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Multiplan Empreendimentos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Multiplan Empreendimentos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Multiplan Empreendimentos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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