Northann Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NCL Stock | 0.20 0.01 4.76% |
Northann Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Northann Corp's share price is approaching 38. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Northann Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Northann Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northann Corp from the perspective of Northann Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Northann Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.44. Northann Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 0.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northann Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Northann Stock please use our How to buy in Northann Stock guide.Northann Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northann price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northann using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northann charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Northann Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Northann Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northann Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northann Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Northann Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Northann Corp | Northann Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Northann Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Northann Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northann Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 12.75, respectively. We have considered Northann Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northann Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northann Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.7001 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0102 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0244 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0874 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.44 |
Predictive Modules for Northann Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northann Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northann Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northann Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northann Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northann Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northann Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northann Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northann Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northann Corp's historical news coverage. Northann Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 12.75, respectively. We have considered Northann Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northann Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northann Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northann Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northann Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northann Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northann Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.06 | 12.55 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
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Northann Corp Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Northann Corp is traded for 0.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Northann is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Northann Corp is about 33026.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.16. About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.33. Northann Corp recorded a loss per share of 2.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the May 2, 2012. The firm had 1:8 split on the 8th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northann Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Northann Stock please use our How to buy in Northann Stock guide.Northann Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northann Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northann Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Northann Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northann Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGR | Gogoro Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 6.17 | (5.51) | 20.86 | |
| CNTY | Century Casinos | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.99 | (6.54) | 20.05 | |
| CVGI | Commercial Vehicle Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.97 | 0.03 | 8.82 | (5.23) | 20.18 | |
| LCUT | Lifetime Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.97 | 0.03 | 5.43 | (3.73) | 16.02 | |
| HCHL | Happy City Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.82 | (9.04) | 61.56 | |
| FRSX | Foresight Autonomous Holdings | (0.08) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 4.39 | (7.78) | 35.97 | |
| BDL | Flanigans Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | 0.03 | 7.42 | (6.42) | 18.83 | |
| VRA | Vera Bradley | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.48 | 0.02 | 10.47 | (7.17) | 35.49 | |
| CULP | Culp Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.55 | (3.08) | 9.88 | |
| NHTC | Natural Health Trend | (0.30) | 7 per month | 7.14 | (0) | 7.79 | (13.45) | 43.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Northann Corp
For every potential investor in Northann, whether a beginner or expert, Northann Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northann Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northann. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northann Corp's price trends.Northann Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northann Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northann Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northann Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Northann Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northann Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northann Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northann Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Northann Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Northann Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Northann Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northann Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northann stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.55 | |||
| Variance | 157.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Northann Corp
The number of cover stories for Northann Corp depends on current market conditions and Northann Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northann Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northann Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Northann Corp Short Properties
Northann Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northann Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northann Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northann Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northann Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 245.2 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northann Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Northann Stock please use our How to buy in Northann Stock guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northann Corp. Anticipated expansion of Northann directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Northann Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Northann Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Northann's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Northann Corp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Northann Corp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Northann Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Northann Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Northann Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.