Nelnet Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NNI Stock | USD 130.78 1.95 1.51% |
Nelnet Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nelnet's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Nelnet's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nelnet, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nelnet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nelnet Inc from the perspective of Nelnet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nelnet Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 129.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.22. Nelnet after-hype prediction price | USD 130.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nelnet to cross-verify your projections. Nelnet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nelnet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nelnet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nelnet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nelnet Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nelnet Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 129.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.78, mean absolute percentage error of 4.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nelnet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nelnet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nelnet Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nelnet | Nelnet Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nelnet Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nelnet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nelnet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 128.33 and 131.28, respectively. We have considered Nelnet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nelnet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nelnet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0261 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0399 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7833 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.215 |
Predictive Modules for Nelnet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nelnet Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nelnet After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nelnet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nelnet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nelnet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nelnet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nelnet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nelnet's historical news coverage. Nelnet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 129.30 and 132.26, respectively. We have considered Nelnet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nelnet is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nelnet Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nelnet Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nelnet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nelnet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nelnet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
130.78 | 130.78 | 0.00 |
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Nelnet Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Nelnet Inc is traded for 130.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nelnet is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nelnet is about 21142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 130.78. About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.29. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nelnet Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nelnet to cross-verify your projections.Nelnet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nelnet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nelnet's future price movements. Getting to know how Nelnet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nelnet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JSM | Navient SR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | 0.04 | 1.07 | (0.98) | 3.31 | |
| CACC | Credit Acceptance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.71 | (0.01) | 3.16 | (4.58) | 12.77 | |
| SNEX | Stonex Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | 0.12 | 4.36 | (3.12) | 9.30 | |
| UPST | Upstart Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.09 | (7.29) | 18.48 | |
| LAZ | Lazard | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.07 | 3.60 | (3.31) | 12.15 | |
| RDN | Radian Group | (0.07) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.46 | (2.12) | 10.62 | |
| MC | Moelis Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.10 | 3.36 | (3.43) | 9.78 | |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.16 | 3.79 | (1.90) | 9.06 | |
| SLM | SLM Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.36 | (0.01) | 3.45 | (2.84) | 20.19 | |
| AX | Axos Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.16 | 3.18 | (2.60) | 8.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nelnet
For every potential investor in Nelnet, whether a beginner or expert, Nelnet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nelnet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nelnet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nelnet's price trends.Nelnet Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nelnet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nelnet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nelnet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nelnet Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nelnet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nelnet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nelnet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nelnet Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1105.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.037234 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 129.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 130.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.82 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.95 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.64 |
Nelnet Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nelnet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nelnet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nelnet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nelnet
The number of cover stories for Nelnet depends on current market conditions and Nelnet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nelnet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nelnet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nelnet Short Properties
Nelnet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nelnet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nelnet Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nelnet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nelnet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nelnet to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Nelnet introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nelnet. Anticipated expansion of Nelnet directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Nelnet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Understanding Nelnet Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Nelnet's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Nelnet's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Nelnet's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nelnet's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nelnet should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nelnet's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.