Inotiv Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| NOTV Stock | USD 0.57 0.02 3.64% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Inotiv Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.41. Inotiv Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Inotiv's share price is approaching 35. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Inotiv, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.51) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.27) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.05) | Wall Street Target Price 4.8333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.08) |
Using Inotiv hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inotiv Inc from the perspective of Inotiv response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Inotiv using Inotiv's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Inotiv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Inotiv's stock price.
Inotiv Short Interest
An investor who is long Inotiv may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Inotiv and may potentially protect profits, hedge Inotiv with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.5873 | Short Percent 0.0619 | Short Ratio 3.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 0.766 |
Inotiv Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Inotiv's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Inotiv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Inotiv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Inotiv Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Inotiv Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Inotiv's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inotiv Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inotiv's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inotiv stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inotiv's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Inotiv Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.41. Inotiv after-hype prediction price | USD 0.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inotiv to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Inotiv Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Inotiv's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Inotiv's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Inotiv stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Inotiv's open interest, investors have to compare it to Inotiv's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Inotiv is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Inotiv. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Inotiv Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inotiv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inotiv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inotiv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Inotiv Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Inotiv Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inotiv Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inotiv's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Inotiv Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Inotiv | Inotiv Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Inotiv Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Inotiv's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inotiv's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.76, respectively. We have considered Inotiv's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inotiv stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inotiv stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.7837 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0204 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0402 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.052 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.415 |
Predictive Modules for Inotiv
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inotiv Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inotiv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inotiv After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inotiv at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inotiv or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inotiv, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inotiv Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inotiv's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inotiv's historical news coverage. Inotiv's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 7.70, respectively. We have considered Inotiv's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inotiv is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inotiv Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inotiv Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inotiv is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inotiv backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inotiv, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.19 | 7.19 | 0.01 | 21.42 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.57 | 0.57 | 0.00 |
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Inotiv Hype Timeline
Inotiv Inc is now traded for 0.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -21.42. Inotiv is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Inotiv is about 39.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -20.85. About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.14. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Inotiv Inc recorded a loss per share of 2.11. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inotiv to cross-verify your projections.Inotiv Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inotiv's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inotiv's future price movements. Getting to know how Inotiv's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inotiv may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RNTX | Rein Therapeutics | 0.04 | 9 per month | 5.13 | 0.04 | 11.46 | (7.41) | 36.28 | |
| BDSX | Biodesix | 0.35 | 27 per month | 4.93 | 0.12 | 19.87 | (9.42) | 61.04 | |
| VNRX | Volitionrx | (0.04) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.34 | (9.09) | 30.06 | |
| BEAT | Heartbeam | 0.33 | 11 per month | 9.92 | 0.07 | 28.33 | (11.73) | 103.08 | |
| STRR | Star Equity Holdings | (0.96) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.21 | (4.79) | 12.75 | |
| FGEN | FibroGen | (1.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.33 | (5.28) | 28.75 | |
| CELU | Celularity | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.01 | (8.97) | 26.97 | |
| BIAF | bioAffinity Technologies | (179.00) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 6.52 | (9.13) | 18.89 | |
| KZR | Kezar Life Sciences | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.15 | 0.10 | 1.60 | (1.27) | 57.13 | |
| QNTM | Quantum BioPharma | 0.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 13.19 | (11.72) | 59.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Inotiv
For every potential investor in Inotiv, whether a beginner or expert, Inotiv's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inotiv Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inotiv. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inotiv's price trends.Inotiv Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Inotiv stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Inotiv could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inotiv by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Inotiv Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inotiv stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inotiv shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inotiv stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Inotiv Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Inotiv Risk Indicators
The analysis of Inotiv's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inotiv's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inotiv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.93 | |||
| Variance | 48.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Inotiv
The number of cover stories for Inotiv depends on current market conditions and Inotiv's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inotiv is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inotiv's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Inotiv Short Properties
Inotiv's future price predictability will typically decrease when Inotiv's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inotiv Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inotiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inotiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.7 M |
Additional Tools for Inotiv Stock Analysis
When running Inotiv's price analysis, check to measure Inotiv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inotiv is operating at the current time. Most of Inotiv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inotiv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inotiv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inotiv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.