NeOnc Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NTHI Stock   9.47  0.52  5.81%   
NeOnc Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NeOnc Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of NeOnc Technologies' share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NeOnc Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NeOnc Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NeOnc Technologies Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting NeOnc Technologies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Using NeOnc Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NeOnc Technologies Holdings from the perspective of NeOnc Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NeOnc Technologies Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.81.

NeOnc Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NeOnc Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

NeOnc Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NeOnc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NeOnc using various technical indicators. When you analyze NeOnc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

NeOnc Technologies Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the NeOnc Technologies' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
58.4 K
Current Value
55.5 K
Quarterly Volatility
146.5 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for NeOnc Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NeOnc Technologies Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NeOnc Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NeOnc Technologies Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 1.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NeOnc Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NeOnc Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NeOnc Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NeOnc Technologies  NeOnc Technologies Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

NeOnc Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NeOnc Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NeOnc Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.87 and 17.50, respectively. We have considered NeOnc Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.47
9.69
Expected Value
17.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NeOnc Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NeOnc Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1136
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7673
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0921
SAESum of the absolute errors46.8054
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NeOnc Technologies Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NeOnc Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NeOnc Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NeOnc Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.589.4017.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.387.6815.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
7.718.8810.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NeOnc Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NeOnc Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NeOnc Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NeOnc Technologies.

NeOnc Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NeOnc Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NeOnc Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NeOnc Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NeOnc Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NeOnc Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NeOnc Technologies' historical news coverage. NeOnc Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.58 and 17.22, respectively. We have considered NeOnc Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.47
9.40
After-hype Price
17.22
Upside
NeOnc Technologies is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NeOnc Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

NeOnc Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NeOnc Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NeOnc Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NeOnc Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
7.82
  0.07 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.47
9.40
0.74 
4,888  
Notes

NeOnc Technologies Hype Timeline

NeOnc Technologies is now traded for 9.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. NeOnc is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on NeOnc Technologies is about 52133.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.46. About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.47. NeOnc Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NeOnc Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

NeOnc Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NeOnc Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NeOnc Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how NeOnc Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NeOnc Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BHCBausch Health Companies(0.12)8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.20 (4.68) 18.13 
WHWRFWorld Houseware Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ABDXFAbingdon Health Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NRRWDNuran Wireless 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.00 (2.59) 22.69 
OMHEOmni Health 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RMSYFRamsay Health Care 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  25.00 
CWIRCentral Wireless 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TOWTFTower One Wireless 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for NeOnc Technologies

For every potential investor in NeOnc, whether a beginner or expert, NeOnc Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NeOnc Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NeOnc. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NeOnc Technologies' price trends.

NeOnc Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NeOnc Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NeOnc Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NeOnc Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NeOnc Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NeOnc Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NeOnc Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NeOnc Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NeOnc Technologies Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NeOnc Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of NeOnc Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NeOnc Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neonc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for NeOnc Technologies

The number of cover stories for NeOnc Technologies depends on current market conditions and NeOnc Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NeOnc Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NeOnc Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

NeOnc Technologies Short Properties

NeOnc Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when NeOnc Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NeOnc Technologies Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NeOnc Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NeOnc Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments64.9 K
Shares FloatM
When determining whether NeOnc Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NeOnc Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Neonc Technologies Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Neonc Technologies Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NeOnc Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NeOnc Technologies. If investors know NeOnc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NeOnc Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.47)
Revenue Per Share
0.005
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of NeOnc Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NeOnc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NeOnc Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NeOnc Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NeOnc Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NeOnc Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NeOnc Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NeOnc Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NeOnc Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.