OneStream Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OS Stock   23.63  0.02  0.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneStream Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 22.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.15. OneStream Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of OneStream's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OneStream's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of OneStream and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from OneStream's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OneStream Class A, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OneStream's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0348
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.1953
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.2721
Wall Street Target Price
24.0667
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.0212
Using OneStream hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneStream Class A from the perspective of OneStream response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OneStream using OneStream's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OneStream using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OneStream's stock price.

OneStream Short Interest

An investor who is long OneStream may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about OneStream and may potentially protect profits, hedge OneStream with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.9819
Short Percent
0.0533
Short Ratio
3.38
Shares Short Prior Month
4.1 M
50 Day MA
20.3784

OneStream Class A Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to OneStream's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OneStream. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OneStream can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OneStream Class A. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

OneStream Implied Volatility

    
  0.72  
OneStream's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OneStream Class A stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OneStream's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OneStream stock will not fluctuate a lot when OneStream's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneStream Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 22.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.15.

OneStream after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneStream to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OneStream contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OneStream Class A will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With OneStream trading at USD 23.63, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OneStream's daily price movement you should consider acquiring OneStream Class A options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 OneStream Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OneStream's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OneStream's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OneStream stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OneStream's open interest, investors have to compare it to OneStream's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OneStream is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OneStream. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

OneStream Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OneStream price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneStream using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneStream charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the OneStream's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
625.8 M
Current Value
657.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
232.9 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for OneStream is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of OneStream Class A value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

OneStream Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneStream Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 22.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OneStream Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OneStream's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OneStream Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest OneStreamOneStream Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

OneStream Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OneStream's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OneStream's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.89 and 27.45, respectively. We have considered OneStream's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.63
22.17
Expected Value
27.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OneStream stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OneStream stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1649
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7893
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0388
SAESum of the absolute errors48.1481
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of OneStream Class A. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict OneStream. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for OneStream

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneStream Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OneStream's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4723.7529.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7723.0528.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.2520.3325.40
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.9024.0726.71
Details

OneStream After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OneStream at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OneStream or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OneStream, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OneStream Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OneStream's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OneStream's historical news coverage. OneStream's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.47 and 29.03, respectively. We have considered OneStream's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.63
23.75
After-hype Price
29.03
Upside
OneStream is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OneStream Class A is based on 3 months time horizon.

OneStream Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OneStream is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneStream backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OneStream, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
5.28
  0.10 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.63
23.75
0.42 
2,400  
Notes

OneStream Hype Timeline

As of January 23, 2026 OneStream Class A is listed for 23.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. OneStream is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.42%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on OneStream is about 25142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.62. The company generated the yearly revenue of 489.41 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (306.66 M) with gross profit of 387.53 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneStream to cross-verify your projections.

OneStream Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OneStream's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OneStream's future price movements. Getting to know how OneStream's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OneStream may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group 1.71 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 8.05 (9.51) 27.30 
WKWorkiva(0.24)10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.07 (3.07) 10.41 
NAVNNavan Class A(0.27)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 9.63 (10.70) 21.66 
CLSKCleanSpark 0.24 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 12.27 (8.72) 33.02 
CALXCalix Inc(0.34)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.63 (4.18) 14.05 
DGNXDiginex Limited Ordinary 0.64 10 per month 0.00 (0.28) 15.63 (21.43) 58.12 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings(0.03)11 per month 1.99  0.14  5.40 (3.95) 14.20 
VIAVia Transportation(2.04)7 per month 0.00 (0.20) 6.02 (7.74) 18.71 
PTRNPattern Group Series 0.21 10 per month 4.03  0.03  9.15 (6.68) 30.40 
ASANAsana Inc(0.09)8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.44 (5.47) 15.87 

Other Forecasting Options for OneStream

For every potential investor in OneStream, whether a beginner or expert, OneStream's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OneStream Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OneStream. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OneStream's price trends.

OneStream Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OneStream stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OneStream could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneStream by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OneStream Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OneStream stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OneStream shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OneStream stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OneStream Class A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OneStream Risk Indicators

The analysis of OneStream's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OneStream's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onestream stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for OneStream

The number of cover stories for OneStream depends on current market conditions and OneStream's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OneStream is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OneStream's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

OneStream Short Properties

OneStream's future price predictability will typically decrease when OneStream's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OneStream Class A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OneStream's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneStream's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding173.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments544.2 M

Additional Tools for OneStream Stock Analysis

When running OneStream's price analysis, check to measure OneStream's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OneStream is operating at the current time. Most of OneStream's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OneStream's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OneStream's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OneStream to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.