Plains All Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PAA Stock | USD 19.69 0.04 0.20% |
Plains Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Plains All stock prices and determine the direction of Plains All American's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Plains All's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Plains All's share price is above 70 at this time indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Plains, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Plains All hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plains All American from the perspective of Plains All response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Plains All American on the next trading day is expected to be 19.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.06. Plains All after-hype prediction price | USD 19.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plains All to cross-verify your projections. Plains All Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Plains price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plains using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plains charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Plains All Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Plains All American on the next trading day is expected to be 19.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Plains Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Plains All's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Plains All Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Plains All | Plains All Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Plains All Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Plains All's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Plains All's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.81 and 20.57, respectively. We have considered Plains All's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Plains All stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Plains All stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6843 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.054 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1343 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0075 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.06 |
Predictive Modules for Plains All
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plains All American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Plains All After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Plains All at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plains All or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plains All, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Plains All Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Plains All's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plains All's historical news coverage. Plains All's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.81 and 20.57, respectively. We have considered Plains All's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Plains All is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plains All American is based on 3 months time horizon.
Plains All Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plains All is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plains All backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plains All, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.69 | 19.69 | 0.00 |
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Plains All Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Plains All American is traded for 19.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Plains is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Plains All is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.69. About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Plains All American has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 2nd of October 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plains All to cross-verify your projections.Plains All Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Plains All's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plains All's future price movements. Getting to know how Plains All's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plains All may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DTM | DT Midstream | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.16 | 2.13 | (1.75) | 4.69 | |
| VNOM | Viper Energy Ut | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.09 | 2.90 | (2.74) | 10.04 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | (0.02) | 3.90 | (2.57) | 7.95 | |
| AR | Antero Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.08 | 3.99 | (3.18) | 12.23 | |
| WES | Western Midstream Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.12 | 2.05 | (1.78) | 4.99 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.09 | 1.82 | (1.86) | 5.96 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.07 | 1.75 | (1.77) | 5.00 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.10 | 3.64 | (3.04) | 8.85 | |
| YPF | YPF Sociedad Anonima | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.05 | 3.84 | (3.54) | 10.02 | |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.05 | 1.72 | (1.53) | 5.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Plains All
For every potential investor in Plains, whether a beginner or expert, Plains All's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Plains Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Plains. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Plains All's price trends.Plains All Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Plains All stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Plains All could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Plains All by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Plains All Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Plains All stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Plains All shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Plains All stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Plains All American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 88562.99 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.10) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 73.41 |
Plains All Risk Indicators
The analysis of Plains All's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Plains All's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting plains stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6676 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4707 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8827 | |||
| Variance | 0.7792 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8005 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2215 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Plains All
The number of cover stories for Plains All depends on current market conditions and Plains All's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Plains All is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Plains All's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Plains All Short Properties
Plains All's future price predictability will typically decrease when Plains All's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Plains All American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Plains All's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plains All's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 702 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 348 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plains All to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Plains All. Anticipated expansion of Plains directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Plains All assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Plains All American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Plains that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Plains All's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Plains All's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Plains All's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Plains All's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Plains All's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Plains All should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Plains All's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.