Peoples Bancorp Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PEBO Stock | USD 31.96 0.50 1.59% |
Peoples Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Peoples Bancorp's share price is at 57 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Peoples Bancorp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Peoples Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peoples Bancorp from the perspective of Peoples Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peoples Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 31.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.07. Peoples Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 31.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peoples Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Peoples Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peoples Bancorp guide.Peoples Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Peoples price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peoples using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peoples charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Peoples Bancorp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peoples Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 31.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peoples Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peoples Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Peoples Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Peoples Bancorp | Peoples Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Peoples Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Peoples Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peoples Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.47 and 33.31, respectively. We have considered Peoples Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peoples Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peoples Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5966 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0742 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3178 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.067 |
Predictive Modules for Peoples Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peoples Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Peoples Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Peoples Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peoples Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peoples Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Peoples Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Peoples Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peoples Bancorp's historical news coverage. Peoples Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.54 and 33.38, respectively. We have considered Peoples Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Peoples Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peoples Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Peoples Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peoples Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peoples Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peoples Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.96 | 31.96 | 0.00 |
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Peoples Bancorp Hype Timeline
Peoples Bancorp is at this time traded for 31.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Peoples is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Peoples Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.96. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.94. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Peoples Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.06. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. The firm had 11:10 split on the 15th of July 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peoples Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Peoples Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peoples Bancorp guide.Peoples Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Peoples Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peoples Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Peoples Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peoples Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMP | Tompkins Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.16 | 3.68 | (2.18) | 10.36 | |
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.82 | 0.01 | 3.55 | (2.24) | 11.35 | |
| FSUN | FirstSun Capital Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.07 | 3.49 | (2.36) | 10.98 | |
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 3.24 | (2.10) | 9.56 | |
| OSBC | Old Second Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.05 | 3.08 | (1.66) | 11.80 | |
| OBK | Origin Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | 0.19 | 2.91 | (1.83) | 8.57 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.15 | 2.92 | (1.82) | 10.21 | |
| BHRB | Burke Herbert Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | 0.07 | 3.16 | (2.37) | 9.50 | |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.42 | (2.09) | 12.44 | |
| FMBH | First Mid Illinois | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.12 | 3.31 | (1.45) | 9.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Peoples Bancorp
For every potential investor in Peoples, whether a beginner or expert, Peoples Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peoples Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peoples. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peoples Bancorp's price trends.Peoples Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peoples Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peoples Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peoples Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Peoples Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peoples Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peoples Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peoples Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peoples Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Peoples Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Peoples Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peoples Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peoples stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Peoples Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Peoples Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Peoples Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peoples Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peoples Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Peoples Bancorp Short Properties
Peoples Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Peoples Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Peoples Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Peoples Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peoples Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 189 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peoples Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Peoples Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peoples Bancorp guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Peoples diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peoples Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of Peoples directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Peoples Bancorp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Peoples Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Peoples's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Peoples Bancorp's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Peoples Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Peoples Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Peoples Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Peoples Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.