Perdoceo Education Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| PRDO Stock | USD 32.62 0.22 0.68% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perdoceo Education Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 32.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.96. Perdoceo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Perdoceo Education's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Perdoceo Education's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Perdoceo Education fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Perdoceo Education's share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perdoceo Education, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.053 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.54 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.78 | Wall Street Target Price 42 |
Using Perdoceo Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perdoceo Education Corp from the perspective of Perdoceo Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perdoceo Education using Perdoceo Education's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perdoceo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perdoceo Education's stock price.
Perdoceo Education Short Interest
An investor who is long Perdoceo Education may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Perdoceo Education and may potentially protect profits, hedge Perdoceo Education with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 31.175 | Short Percent 0.0652 | Short Ratio 4.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.2 M | 50 Day MA 29.7802 |
Perdoceo Education Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Perdoceo Education's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perdoceo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perdoceo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perdoceo Education Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Perdoceo Education Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Perdoceo Education's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perdoceo Education Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perdoceo Education's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perdoceo Education stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perdoceo Education's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perdoceo Education Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 32.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.96. Perdoceo Education after-hype prediction price | USD 32.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perdoceo Education to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perdoceo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perdoceo Education Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Perdoceo Education trading at USD 32.62, that is roughly USD 0.009174 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perdoceo Education's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perdoceo Education Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Perdoceo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Perdoceo Education's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Perdoceo Education's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Perdoceo Education stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Perdoceo Education's open interest, investors have to compare it to Perdoceo Education's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Perdoceo Education is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Perdoceo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Perdoceo Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perdoceo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perdoceo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perdoceo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perdoceo Education Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perdoceo Education Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 32.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perdoceo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perdoceo Education's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perdoceo Education Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perdoceo Education | Perdoceo Education Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Perdoceo Education Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perdoceo Education's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perdoceo Education's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.47 and 35.04, respectively. We have considered Perdoceo Education's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perdoceo Education stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perdoceo Education stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4738 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.9551 |
Predictive Modules for Perdoceo Education
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perdoceo Education Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perdoceo Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Perdoceo Education After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perdoceo Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perdoceo Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perdoceo Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perdoceo Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perdoceo Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perdoceo Education's historical news coverage. Perdoceo Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.36 and 34.88, respectively. We have considered Perdoceo Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perdoceo Education is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perdoceo Education Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perdoceo Education Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perdoceo Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perdoceo Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perdoceo Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.28 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.62 | 32.62 | 0.00 |
|
Perdoceo Education Hype Timeline
Perdoceo Education Corp is at this time traded for 32.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Perdoceo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perdoceo Education is about 4071.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.63. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Perdoceo Education was at this time reported as 15.51. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. Perdoceo Education Corp last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 25th of August 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perdoceo Education to cross-verify your projections.Perdoceo Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perdoceo Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perdoceo Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Perdoceo Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perdoceo Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STRA | Strategic Education | (0.04) | 10 per month | 2.21 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (4.08) | 12.29 | |
| MH | McGraw Hill | 1.42 | 6 per month | 2.93 | 0.06 | 6.07 | (3.45) | 34.91 | |
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | (0.24) | 9 per month | 1.48 | 0.11 | 2.62 | (2.23) | 9.52 | |
| SMPL | Simply Good Foods | 1.42 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.90 | (3.46) | 19.75 | |
| UTI | Universal Technical Institute | (0.42) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.86 | (4.31) | 25.31 | |
| COUR | Coursera | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.68 | (6.89) | 18.76 | |
| AFYA | Afya | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.27 | (2.99) | 6.95 | |
| COCO | Vita Coco | 0.06 | 3 per month | 2.13 | 0.12 | 4.54 | (3.37) | 13.15 | |
| PXED | Phoenix Education Partners | (1.72) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.25 | (6.71) | 19.87 | |
| CHEF | The Chefs Warehouse | 0.15 | 25 per month | 1.51 | 0.04 | 3.12 | (2.85) | 10.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perdoceo Education
For every potential investor in Perdoceo, whether a beginner or expert, Perdoceo Education's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perdoceo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perdoceo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perdoceo Education's price trends.Perdoceo Education Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perdoceo Education stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perdoceo Education could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perdoceo Education by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perdoceo Education Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perdoceo Education stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perdoceo Education shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perdoceo Education stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perdoceo Education Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Perdoceo Education Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perdoceo Education's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perdoceo Education's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perdoceo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perdoceo Education
The number of cover stories for Perdoceo Education depends on current market conditions and Perdoceo Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perdoceo Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perdoceo Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Perdoceo Education Short Properties
Perdoceo Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perdoceo Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perdoceo Education Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perdoceo Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perdoceo Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 568.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perdoceo Education to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perdoceo Education. If investors know Perdoceo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perdoceo Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.053 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 2.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.248 |
The market value of Perdoceo Education Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perdoceo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perdoceo Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perdoceo Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perdoceo Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perdoceo Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perdoceo Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Perdoceo Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perdoceo Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.