Rave Restaurant Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RAVE Stock | USD 3.17 0.01 0.32% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rave Restaurant Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.98. Rave Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rave Restaurant stock prices and determine the direction of Rave Restaurant Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rave Restaurant's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Rave Restaurant's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.259 | Wall Street Target Price 2.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 |
Using Rave Restaurant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rave Restaurant Group from the perspective of Rave Restaurant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rave Restaurant using Rave Restaurant's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rave using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rave Restaurant's stock price.
Rave Restaurant Implied Volatility | 1.2 |
Rave Restaurant's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rave Restaurant Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rave Restaurant's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rave Restaurant stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rave Restaurant's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rave Restaurant Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.98. Rave Restaurant after-hype prediction price | USD 3.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rave Restaurant to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Rave Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rave Restaurant's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rave Restaurant's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rave Restaurant stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rave Restaurant's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rave Restaurant's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rave Restaurant is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rave. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Rave Restaurant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rave Restaurant Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rave Restaurant Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rave Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rave Restaurant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rave Restaurant Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rave Restaurant | Rave Restaurant Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rave Restaurant Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rave Restaurant's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rave Restaurant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.51, respectively. We have considered Rave Restaurant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rave Restaurant stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rave Restaurant stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.5535 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0077 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0663 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0226 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.98 |
Predictive Modules for Rave Restaurant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rave Restaurant Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rave Restaurant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rave Restaurant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rave Restaurant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rave Restaurant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rave Restaurant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rave Restaurant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rave Restaurant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rave Restaurant's historical news coverage. Rave Restaurant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 6.61, respectively. We have considered Rave Restaurant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rave Restaurant is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rave Restaurant Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rave Restaurant Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rave Restaurant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rave Restaurant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rave Restaurant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.34 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.17 | 3.24 | 2.53 |
|
Rave Restaurant Hype Timeline
Rave Restaurant Group is at this time traded for 3.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Rave is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Rave Restaurant is about 5808.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.19. Rave Restaurant Group currently holds 576 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rave Restaurant to cross-verify your projections.Rave Restaurant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rave Restaurant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rave Restaurant's future price movements. Getting to know how Rave Restaurant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rave Restaurant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FAT | FAT Brands | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 11.11 | (14.52) | 44.83 | |
| NDLS | Noodles Company | 0.04 | 11 per month | 5.08 | 0.07 | 13.64 | (8.75) | 44.79 | |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corp | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.05 | (5.71) | 21.39 | |
| CDRO | Codere Online Corp | 0.05 | 5 per month | 1.65 | 0.08 | 5.98 | (3.51) | 13.32 | |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp | 0.25 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.15 | (5.82) | 12.34 | |
| WPRT | Westport Fuel Systems | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.50 | 0.01 | 6.33 | (4.94) | 18.19 | |
| ISPO | Inspirato | (0.11) | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.11 | 6.32 | (3.14) | 47.07 | |
| VNCE | Vince Holding Corp | 0.36 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.51 | (6.43) | 25.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rave Restaurant
For every potential investor in Rave, whether a beginner or expert, Rave Restaurant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rave Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rave. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rave Restaurant's price trends.Rave Restaurant Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rave Restaurant stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rave Restaurant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rave Restaurant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rave Restaurant Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rave Restaurant stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rave Restaurant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rave Restaurant stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rave Restaurant Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1273.3 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Rave Restaurant Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rave Restaurant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rave Restaurant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rave stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.47 | |||
| Variance | 12.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rave Restaurant
The number of cover stories for Rave Restaurant depends on current market conditions and Rave Restaurant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rave Restaurant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rave Restaurant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Rave Restaurant Short Properties
Rave Restaurant's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rave Restaurant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rave Restaurant Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rave Restaurant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rave Restaurant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rave Restaurant to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rave Restaurant. If investors know Rave will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rave Restaurant listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.259 | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Rave Restaurant Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rave that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rave Restaurant's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rave Restaurant's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rave Restaurant's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rave Restaurant's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rave Restaurant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rave Restaurant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rave Restaurant's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.