Remy Cointreau Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

RCO Stock  EUR 90.55  0.75  0.84%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Remy Cointreau on the next trading day is expected to be 93.34 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.31  and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.23. Remy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Remy Cointreau stock prices and determine the direction of Remy Cointreau's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Remy Cointreau's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Remy Cointreau to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Remy Cointreau cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Remy Cointreau's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Remy Cointreau's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Remy Cointreau polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Remy Cointreau as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Remy Cointreau Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Remy Cointreau on the next trading day is expected to be 93.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31, mean absolute percentage error of 2.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Remy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Remy Cointreau's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Remy Cointreau Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Remy CointreauRemy Cointreau Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Remy Cointreau Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Remy Cointreau's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Remy Cointreau's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 91.82 and 94.86, respectively. We have considered Remy Cointreau's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
90.55
93.34
Expected Value
94.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Remy Cointreau stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Remy Cointreau stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.83
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3101
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0139
SAESum of the absolute errors81.2274
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Remy Cointreau historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Remy Cointreau

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Remy Cointreau. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Remy Cointreau's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.0390.5592.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.3187.8399.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
88.9291.7694.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Remy Cointreau. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Remy Cointreau's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Remy Cointreau's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Remy Cointreau.

Other Forecasting Options for Remy Cointreau

For every potential investor in Remy, whether a beginner or expert, Remy Cointreau's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Remy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Remy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Remy Cointreau's price trends.

Remy Cointreau Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Remy Cointreau stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Remy Cointreau could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Remy Cointreau by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Remy Cointreau Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Remy Cointreau's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Remy Cointreau's current price.

Remy Cointreau Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Remy Cointreau stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Remy Cointreau shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Remy Cointreau stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Remy Cointreau entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Remy Cointreau Risk Indicators

The analysis of Remy Cointreau's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Remy Cointreau's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting remy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Remy Cointreau in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Remy Cointreau's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Remy Cointreau options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Remy Cointreau to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Remy Stock analysis

When running Remy Cointreau's price analysis, check to measure Remy Cointreau's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Remy Cointreau is operating at the current time. Most of Remy Cointreau's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Remy Cointreau's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Remy Cointreau's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Remy Cointreau to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Remy Cointreau's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Remy Cointreau is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Remy Cointreau's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.