RH Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

RH Stock  USD 179.15  2.78  1.53%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RH on the next trading day is expected to be 179.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.45. RH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RH's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the value of rsi of RH's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RH's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RH, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting RH's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.963
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.0663
Wall Street Target Price
200.6471
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.1619
Using RH hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RH from the perspective of RH response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RH using RH's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RH using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RH's stock price.

RH Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in RH's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards RH. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of RH stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
194.0297
Short Percent
0.2595
Short Ratio
3.26
Shares Short Prior Month
3.6 M
50 Day MA
166.1508

RH Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to RH's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RH. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RH can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RH. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RH's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RH.

RH Implied Volatility

    
  0.67  
RH's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RH stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RH's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RH stock will not fluctuate a lot when RH's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RH on the next trading day is expected to be 179.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.45.

RH after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 179.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RH to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in RH Stock please use our How to Invest in RH guide.As of now, RH's Inventory Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The RH's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 9.87, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 30.37. . The RH's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 32 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is projected to decrease to under 61.9 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 RH Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast RH's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in RH's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for RH stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current RH's open interest, investors have to compare it to RH's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of RH is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in RH. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

RH Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RH using various technical indicators. When you analyze RH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for RH works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

RH Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RH on the next trading day is expected to be 179.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.55, mean absolute percentage error of 34.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RH's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RH Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest RHRH Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

RH Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RH's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RH's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 176.53 and 183.13, respectively. We have considered RH's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
179.15
176.53
Downside
179.83
Expected Value
183.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RH stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RH stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5095
MADMean absolute deviation4.55
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0272
SAESum of the absolute errors268.4497
When RH prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any RH trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent RH observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for RH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
175.84179.15182.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.08146.39197.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
147.40168.56189.73
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
182.59200.65222.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RH.

Other Forecasting Options for RH

For every potential investor in RH, whether a beginner or expert, RH's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RH's price trends.

RH Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RH stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RH could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RH by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RH Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RH's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RH's current price.

RH Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RH stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RH shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RH stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RH entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RH Risk Indicators

The analysis of RH's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RH's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RH to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in RH Stock please use our How to Invest in RH guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Homefurnishing Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RH. If investors know RH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RH listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
Earnings Share
5.53
Revenue Per Share
182.175
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.089
Return On Assets
0.0522
The market value of RH is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RH's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RH's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RH's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RH's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RH is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.