Southern Community Pink Sheet Forward View
| SCBSDelisted Stock | USD 34.00 0.00 0.00% |
Southern Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Southern Community's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern Community hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Community Bancshares from the perspective of Southern Community response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Southern Community Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 33.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.25. Southern Community after-hype prediction price | USD 34.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern Community Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern Community Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Southern Community Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 33.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern Community's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern Community Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern Community | Southern Community Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern Community pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern Community pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3157 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0532 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.2466 |
Predictive Modules for Southern Community
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Community. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern Community After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Community at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Community or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southern Community, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Community's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Community's historical news coverage. Southern Community's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.00 and 34.00, respectively. We have considered Southern Community's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Community is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Community is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Community Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Community is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Community backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Community, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 |
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Southern Community Hype Timeline
Southern Community is at this time traded for 34.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Community is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Southern Community last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.Southern Community Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Community's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Community's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Community's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Community may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCHN | Mchenry Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GLNV | Glenville Bank Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNBA | Chester Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FCCO | First Community | (0.24) | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.03 | 2.21 | (2.29) | 6.74 | |
| CFIC | Cornerstone Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MCPH | Midland Capital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EFBI | Eagle Financial Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PCTZF | Bravern Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FCCT | First Community | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1.44 | 0.00 | 6.60 |
Southern Community Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern Community pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern Community could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Community by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern Community Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern Community pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern Community shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern Community pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Community Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Southern Community
The number of cover stories for Southern Community depends on current market conditions and Southern Community's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Community is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Community's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Other Consideration for investing in Southern Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Southern Community check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Southern Community's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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