ScanTech Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| STAI Stock | USD 1.81 0.11 6.47% |
ScanTech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ScanTech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of ScanTech's share price is approaching 31. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ScanTech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ScanTech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ScanTech AI Systems from the perspective of ScanTech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ScanTech AI Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 1.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.85. ScanTech after-hype prediction price | USD 1.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ScanTech to cross-verify your projections. ScanTech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ScanTech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ScanTech using various technical indicators. When you analyze ScanTech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ScanTech Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ScanTech AI Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 1.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ScanTech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ScanTech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ScanTech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ScanTech | ScanTech Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ScanTech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ScanTech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ScanTech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 12.61, respectively. We have considered ScanTech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ScanTech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ScanTech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1201 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1675 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3642 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0825 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.8506 |
Predictive Modules for ScanTech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ScanTech AI Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ScanTech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ScanTech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ScanTech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ScanTech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ScanTech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ScanTech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ScanTech's historical news coverage. ScanTech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 12.62, respectively. We have considered ScanTech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ScanTech is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ScanTech AI Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
ScanTech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ScanTech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ScanTech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ScanTech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.19 | 10.81 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.81 | 1.81 | 0.00 |
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ScanTech Hype Timeline
ScanTech AI Systems is at this time traded for 1.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.15. ScanTech is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -2.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on ScanTech is about 15442.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.96. About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.08. ScanTech AI Systems last dividend was issued on the 26th of October 2010. The entity had 1:20 split on the 16th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ScanTech to cross-verify your projections.ScanTech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ScanTech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ScanTech's future price movements. Getting to know how ScanTech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ScanTech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ELBM | Electra Battery Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.47 | (7.45) | 27.03 | |
| SNES | SenesTech | 0.35 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 6.27 | (7.22) | 19.56 | |
| HUDI | Huadi International Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.74 | (7.09) | 15.13 | |
| ASTL | Algoma Steel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.56 | 0.04 | 7.14 | (5.51) | 18.39 | |
| AUST | Austin Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.28 | 0.16 | 11.38 | (8.74) | 25.02 | |
| NWGL | Nature Wood Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.94 | (0.01) | 8.40 | (7.75) | 44.84 | |
| BGL | Blue Gold Limited | 0.35 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 13.74 | (16.33) | 113.54 | |
| YMAT | J Star Holding Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 9.43 | (10.71) | 24.36 | |
| CAPS | Capstone Holding Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.86 | (8.05) | 29.43 | |
| ZKIN | ZK International Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 13.46 | (10.05) | 44.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for ScanTech
For every potential investor in ScanTech, whether a beginner or expert, ScanTech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ScanTech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ScanTech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ScanTech's price trends.ScanTech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ScanTech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ScanTech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ScanTech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ScanTech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ScanTech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ScanTech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ScanTech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ScanTech AI Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ScanTech Risk Indicators
The analysis of ScanTech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ScanTech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scantech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.81 | |||
| Variance | 116.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ScanTech
The number of cover stories for ScanTech depends on current market conditions and ScanTech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ScanTech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ScanTech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ScanTech to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will ScanTech introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ScanTech. If investors know ScanTech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about ScanTech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of ScanTech AI Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ScanTech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ScanTech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ScanTech's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because ScanTech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ScanTech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ScanTech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ScanTech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, ScanTech's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.