Molson Coors Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TAP-A Stock | USD 48.49 1.99 4.28% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Molson Coors Beverage on the next trading day is expected to be 46.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.52. Molson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Molson Coors stock prices and determine the direction of Molson Coors Beverage's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Molson Coors' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Molson Coors' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Molson Coors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Molson Coors Beverage from the perspective of Molson Coors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Molson Coors Beverage Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Molson Coors' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Molson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Molson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Molson Coors Beverage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Molson Coors' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Molson Coors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Molson Coors Beverage on the next trading day is expected to be 46.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.52. Molson Coors after-hype prediction price | USD 48.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Molson Coors to cross-verify your projections. Molson Coors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Molson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Molson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Molson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Molson Coors Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Molson Coors' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 613.8 M | Current Value 950.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 911.1 M |
Molson Coors Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Molson Coors Beverage on the next trading day is expected to be 46.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22, mean absolute percentage error of 2.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Molson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Molson Coors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Molson Coors Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Molson Coors | Molson Coors Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Molson Coors Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Molson Coors' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Molson Coors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.05 and 48.76, respectively. We have considered Molson Coors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Molson Coors stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Molson Coors stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7608 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.218 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0259 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.5155 |
Predictive Modules for Molson Coors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Molson Coors Beverage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Molson Coors
For every potential investor in Molson, whether a beginner or expert, Molson Coors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Molson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Molson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Molson Coors' price trends.Molson Coors Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Molson Coors stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Molson Coors could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Molson Coors by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Molson Coors Beverage Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Molson Coors' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Molson Coors' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Molson Coors Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Molson Coors stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Molson Coors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Molson Coors stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Molson Coors Beverage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.99 |
Molson Coors Risk Indicators
The analysis of Molson Coors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Molson Coors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting molson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9796 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Molson Stock
Molson Coors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Molson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Molson with respect to the benefits of owning Molson Coors security.