Toronto Dominion Stock Forward View
| TD Stock | USD 98.58 0.37 0.38% |
Toronto Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Toronto Dominion stock prices and determine the direction of Toronto Dominion Bank's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Toronto Dominion's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Toronto Dominion's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Toronto Dominion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Toronto Dominion Bank from the perspective of Toronto Dominion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Toronto Dominion Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 98.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.17. Toronto Dominion after-hype prediction price | USD 98.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toronto Dominion to cross-verify your projections. Toronto Dominion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Toronto price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toronto using various technical indicators. When you analyze Toronto charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Toronto Dominion Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Toronto Dominion Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 98.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Toronto Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Toronto Dominion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Toronto Dominion Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Toronto Dominion | Toronto Dominion Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Toronto Dominion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Toronto Dominion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Toronto Dominion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.78 and 99.79, respectively. We have considered Toronto Dominion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Toronto Dominion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Toronto Dominion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.49 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5602 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0062 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.1709 |
Predictive Modules for Toronto Dominion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toronto Dominion Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toronto Dominion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Toronto Dominion After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Toronto Dominion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Toronto Dominion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Toronto Dominion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Toronto Dominion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Toronto Dominion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Toronto Dominion's historical news coverage. Toronto Dominion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.33 and 99.37, respectively. We have considered Toronto Dominion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Toronto Dominion is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Toronto Dominion Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Toronto Dominion Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Toronto Dominion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Toronto Dominion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Toronto Dominion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
98.58 | 98.35 | 0.08 |
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Toronto Dominion Hype Timeline
As of February 10, 2026 Toronto Dominion Bank is listed for 98.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Toronto is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 98.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Toronto Dominion is about 9090.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 98.58. The company generated the yearly revenue of 115.84 B. Reported Net Income was 20.54 B with gross profit of 63.27 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toronto Dominion to cross-verify your projections.Toronto Dominion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Toronto Dominion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Toronto Dominion's future price movements. Getting to know how Toronto Dominion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Toronto Dominion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.13 | 2.12 | (1.61) | 6.14 | |
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.10 | 2.10 | (1.92) | 7.15 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.15 | 1.69 | (1.40) | 6.23 | |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | 0.64 | 8 per month | 1.66 | (0.03) | 2.34 | (3.11) | 7.38 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | 0.21 | 1.68 | (1.34) | 4.03 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | 0.25 | 6 per month | 1.34 | 0 | 1.73 | (2.16) | 5.64 | |
| C | Citigroup | (0.40) | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.12 | 3.43 | (2.21) | 8.93 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | (0.59) | 7 per month | 1.40 | 0.01 | 2.23 | (2.09) | 8.11 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.31 | 0.03 | 3.85 | (3.65) | 11.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Toronto Dominion
For every potential investor in Toronto, whether a beginner or expert, Toronto Dominion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Toronto Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Toronto. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Toronto Dominion's price trends.Toronto Dominion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toronto Dominion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toronto Dominion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toronto Dominion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Toronto Dominion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toronto Dominion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toronto Dominion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toronto Dominion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Toronto Dominion Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18868.01 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4568 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 98.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 98.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.35 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.37 |
Toronto Dominion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Toronto Dominion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Toronto Dominion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting toronto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7987 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5495 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7677 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.302 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Toronto Dominion
The number of cover stories for Toronto Dominion depends on current market conditions and Toronto Dominion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Toronto Dominion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Toronto Dominion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Toronto Dominion Short Properties
Toronto Dominion's future price predictability will typically decrease when Toronto Dominion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Toronto Dominion Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Toronto Dominion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toronto Dominion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 156.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toronto Dominion to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Diversified Banks sector continue expanding? Could Toronto diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toronto Dominion. If investors know Toronto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Toronto Dominion data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Toronto Dominion Bank requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Toronto's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Toronto Dominion's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Toronto Dominion's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toronto Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toronto Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Toronto Dominion's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.