Telus Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

TU Stock  USD 13.91  0.05  0.36%   
Telus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Telus Corp's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Telus Corp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Telus Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Telus Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Telus Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telus Corp from the perspective of Telus Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Telus Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 13.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.73.

Telus Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telus Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Telus Stock please use our How to Invest in Telus Corp guide.

Telus Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Telus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Telus Corp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Telus Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Telus Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 13.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telus Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Telus Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Telus Corp  Telus Corp Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Telus Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Telus Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telus Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.87 and 14.34, respectively. We have considered Telus Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.91
13.10
Expected Value
14.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telus Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telus Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9623
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5037
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0376
SAESum of the absolute errors30.7279
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Telus Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Telus Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telus Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telus Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6713.9115.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4913.7314.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.7413.4014.05
Details

Telus Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Telus Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telus Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Telus Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Telus Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Telus Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telus Corp's historical news coverage. Telus Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.67 and 15.15, respectively. We have considered Telus Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.91
13.91
After-hype Price
15.15
Upside
Telus Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telus Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Telus Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telus Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telus Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telus Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.24
 0.00  
  0.09 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.91
13.91
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Telus Corp Hype Timeline

As of January 29, 2026 Telus Corp is listed for 13.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Telus is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Telus Corp is about 56.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.82. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Telus Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of March 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telus Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Telus Stock please use our How to Invest in Telus Corp guide.

Telus Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Telus Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telus Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Telus Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telus Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Telus Corp

For every potential investor in Telus, whether a beginner or expert, Telus Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telus Corp's price trends.

Telus Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telus Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telus Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telus Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Telus Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telus Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telus Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telus Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telus Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Telus Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Telus Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telus Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Telus Corp

The number of cover stories for Telus Corp depends on current market conditions and Telus Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Telus Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Telus Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Telus Corp Short Properties

Telus Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Telus Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Telus Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Telus Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telus Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments869 M

Additional Tools for Telus Stock Analysis

When running Telus Corp's price analysis, check to measure Telus Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telus Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Telus Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telus Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telus Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telus Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.