Tri Continental Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TY Stock | USD 33.15 0.19 0.58% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tri Continental Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 33.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.01. Tri Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Tri Continental's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
Using Tri Continental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tri Continental Closed from the perspective of Tri Continental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tri Continental Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 33.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.01. Tri Continental after-hype prediction price | USD 33.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tri Continental to cross-verify your projections. Tri Continental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tri Continental Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tri Continental Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 33.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tri Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tri Continental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tri Continental Stock Forecast Pattern
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Tri Continental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tri Continental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tri Continental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.10 and 34.20, respectively. We have considered Tri Continental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tri Continental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tri Continental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4558 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0238 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2335 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.007 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.01 |
Predictive Modules for Tri Continental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tri Continental Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tri Continental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tri Continental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tri Continental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tri Continental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tri Continental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tri Continental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tri Continental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tri Continental's historical news coverage. Tri Continental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.08 and 34.18, respectively. We have considered Tri Continental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tri Continental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tri Continental Closed is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tri Continental Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tri Continental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tri Continental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tri Continental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.05 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 14 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.15 | 33.13 | 0.06 |
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Tri Continental Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Tri Continental Closed is listed for 33.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Tri is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Tri Continental is about 381.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.14. About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tri Continental Closed last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tri Continental to cross-verify your projections.Tri Continental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tri Continental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tri Continental's future price movements. Getting to know how Tri Continental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tri Continental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WT | WisdomTree | (0.24) | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 4.19 | (2.35) | 8.38 | |
| GRAB | Grab Holdings | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.62 | (4.32) | 12.33 | |
| CET | Central Securities | (0.31) | 10 per month | 0.43 | 0.04 | 1.13 | (1.02) | 3.06 | |
| OXLC | Oxford Lane Capital | 0.07 | 10 per month | 1.56 | (0.01) | 2.51 | (2.69) | 9.22 | |
| GAM | General American Investors | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.30 | 0.04 | 1.04 | (0.83) | 2.57 | |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | (1.49) | 8 per month | 2.08 | 0.09 | 3.38 | (3.22) | 9.38 | |
| FSCO | FS Credit Opportunities | 0.07 | 8 per month | 1.35 | (0.02) | 2.66 | (2.44) | 6.00 | |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty | (0.16) | 9 per month | 1.05 | (0.01) | 2.13 | (2.11) | 5.76 | |
| MFIC | MidCap Financial Investment | (0.10) | 8 per month | 1.40 | (0.05) | 2.18 | (1.47) | 6.99 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.59 | (0.06) | 2.49 | (2.17) | 10.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tri Continental
For every potential investor in Tri, whether a beginner or expert, Tri Continental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tri Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tri. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tri Continental's price trends.Tri Continental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tri Continental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tri Continental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tri Continental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tri Continental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tri Continental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tri Continental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tri Continental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tri Continental Closed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 357.9 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 33.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 33.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.19 |
Tri Continental Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tri Continental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tri Continental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tri stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5528 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tri Continental
The number of cover stories for Tri Continental depends on current market conditions and Tri Continental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tri Continental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tri Continental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Tri Stock Analysis
When running Tri Continental's price analysis, check to measure Tri Continental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tri Continental is operating at the current time. Most of Tri Continental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tri Continental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tri Continental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tri Continental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.