USA Compression Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| USAC Stock | USD 27.60 0.03 0.11% |
USA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast USA Compression stock prices and determine the direction of USA Compression Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of USA Compression's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of USA Compression's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling USA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using USA Compression hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of USA Compression Partners from the perspective of USA Compression response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of USA Compression Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 26.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.77. USA Compression after-hype prediction price | USD 27.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of USA Compression to cross-verify your projections. USA Compression Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine USA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USA using various technical indicators. When you analyze USA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
USA Compression Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of USA Compression Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 26.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that USA Compression's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
USA Compression Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest USA Compression | USA Compression Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
USA Compression Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting USA Compression's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. USA Compression's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.42 and 28.29, respectively. We have considered USA Compression's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of USA Compression stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent USA Compression stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7741 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6683 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0278 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.7662 |
Predictive Modules for USA Compression
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USA Compression Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.USA Compression After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of USA Compression at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in USA Compression or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of USA Compression, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
USA Compression Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting USA Compression's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on USA Compression's historical news coverage. USA Compression's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.18 and 29.06, respectively. We have considered USA Compression's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
USA Compression is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of USA Compression Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
USA Compression Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as USA Compression is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading USA Compression backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with USA Compression, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.44 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 17 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.60 | 27.62 | 0.11 |
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USA Compression Hype Timeline
USA Compression Partners is at this time traded for 27.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. USA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on USA Compression is about 628.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.64. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 998.1 M. Net Income was 111.32 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 673.62 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of USA Compression to cross-verify your projections.USA Compression Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to USA Compression's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict USA Compression's future price movements. Getting to know how USA Compression's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how USA Compression may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.28 | 3.53 | (2.38) | 15.25 | |
| TDW | Tidewater | 3.25 | 10 per month | 2.26 | 0.18 | 4.95 | (5.03) | 15.89 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | (0.39) | 14 per month | 2.39 | 0.22 | 5.84 | (4.84) | 23.65 | |
| WHD | Cactus Inc | (0.08) | 21 per month | 2.56 | 0.09 | 3.29 | (3.33) | 18.02 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | 0.19 | 6.98 | (3.87) | 14.11 | |
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.03 | 2.49 | (1.73) | 6.81 | |
| KNTK | Kinetik Holdings | (0.45) | 9 per month | 1.28 | 0.23 | 3.90 | (2.75) | 10.44 | |
| CIVI | Civitas Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.89 | (4.11) | 11.71 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | 0.04 | 11 per month | 1.21 | 0.18 | 4.06 | (2.80) | 15.04 | |
| HP | Helmerich and Payne | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.09 | 0.11 | 4.17 | (4.23) | 10.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for USA Compression
For every potential investor in USA, whether a beginner or expert, USA Compression's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying USA Compression's price trends.USA Compression Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with USA Compression stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of USA Compression could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing USA Compression by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
USA Compression Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how USA Compression stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading USA Compression shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying USA Compression stock market strength indicators, traders can identify USA Compression Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
USA Compression Risk Indicators
The analysis of USA Compression's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in USA Compression's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting usa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for USA Compression
The number of cover stories for USA Compression depends on current market conditions and USA Compression's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that USA Compression is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about USA Compression's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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USA Compression Short Properties
USA Compression's future price predictability will typically decrease when USA Compression's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of USA Compression Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential USA Compression's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. USA Compression's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of USA Compression to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could USA diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of USA Compression. If investors know USA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every USA Compression data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of USA Compression Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of USA Compression's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is USA Compression's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because USA Compression's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect USA Compression's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between USA Compression's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if USA Compression is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, USA Compression's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.