US Energy Stock Forward View
| USEG Stock | USD 1.15 0.02 1.77% |
USEG Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of US Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The value of RSI of US Energy's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling US Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using US Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Energy Corp from the perspective of US Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of US Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64. US Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 1.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Energy to cross-verify your projections. US Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine USEG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USEG using various technical indicators. When you analyze USEG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
US Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of US Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USEG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that US Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
US Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest US Energy | US Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
US Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting US Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. US Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.08, respectively. We have considered US Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of US Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent US Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.3591 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0269 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0265 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.6436 |
Predictive Modules for US Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of US Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
US Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of US Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in US Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of US Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
US Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting US Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on US Energy's historical news coverage. US Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.13, respectively. We have considered US Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
US Energy is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of US Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
US Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as US Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with US Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 3.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.15 | 1.15 | 0.00 |
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US Energy Hype Timeline
US Energy Corp is at this time traded for 1.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. USEG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on US Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.15. About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. US Energy Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of May 2023. The firm had 1:10 split on the 6th of January 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Energy to cross-verify your projections.US Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to US Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict US Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how US Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how US Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INDO | Indonesia Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.75 | 0.16 | 10.28 | (5.06) | 29.54 | |
| PED | PEDEVCO Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.59 | 0.02 | 6.00 | (6.45) | 16.10 | |
| KLXE | KLX Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.36 | 0.13 | 10.85 | (7.26) | 27.68 | |
| SMXT | Solarmax Technology Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 10.23 | (10.20) | 29.70 | |
| VVPR | VivoPower International PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.84 | (11.28) | 36.18 | |
| BATL | Battalion Oil Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.75 | 0.15 | 9.17 | (5.00) | 228.01 | |
| RCON | Recon Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.60 | (6.38) | 17.78 | |
| NINE | Nine Energy Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.95 | 0.06 | 17.02 | (9.76) | 40.03 | |
| BRN | Barnwell Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.36 | (5.22) | 19.84 | |
| MXC | Mexco Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.26 | 0.09 | 7.03 | (5.37) | 16.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for US Energy
For every potential investor in USEG, whether a beginner or expert, US Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USEG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USEG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying US Energy's price trends.US Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with US Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of US Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
US Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how US Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading US Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying US Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify US Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
US Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of US Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in US Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting useg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.8 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for US Energy
The number of cover stories for US Energy depends on current market conditions and US Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that US Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about US Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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US Energy Short Properties
US Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when US Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of US Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential US Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does USEG have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Energy. If investors know USEG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating US Energy demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate US Energy Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating US Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause US Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, US Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.