Vontier Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

VNT Stock  USD 37.43  0.53  1.44%   
Vontier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Vontier Corp's share price is approaching 48. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vontier Corp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vontier Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vontier Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vontier Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vontier Corp from the perspective of Vontier Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vontier Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.96.

Vontier Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vontier Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vontier Stock please use our How to Invest in Vontier Corp guide.

Vontier Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vontier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vontier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vontier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Vontier Corp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Vontier Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Vontier Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vontier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vontier Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vontier Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vontier Corp  Vontier Corp Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Vontier Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vontier Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vontier Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.55 and 39.30, respectively. We have considered Vontier Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.43
37.93
Expected Value
39.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vontier Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vontier Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.279
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9337
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0254
SAESum of the absolute errors56.9578
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Vontier Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Vontier Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vontier Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0537.4338.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.5736.9538.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.4837.8439.19
Details

Vontier Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vontier Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vontier Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vontier Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vontier Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vontier Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vontier Corp's historical news coverage. Vontier Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.05 and 38.81, respectively. We have considered Vontier Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.43
37.43
After-hype Price
38.81
Upside
Vontier Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vontier Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vontier Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vontier Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vontier Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vontier Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.38
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.43
37.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Vontier Corp Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January Vontier Corp is traded for 37.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vontier is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vontier Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.43. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Vontier Corp was at this time reported as 8.47. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Vontier Corp last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vontier Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vontier Stock please use our How to Invest in Vontier Corp guide.

Vontier Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vontier Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vontier Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Vontier Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vontier Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BMIBadger Meter 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.71 (4.32) 16.79 
ITRIItron Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.72 (0.03) 2.39 (2.13) 11.62 
ESEESCO Technologies 0.00 0 per month 1.73  0.02  2.93 (3.16) 7.84 
OSISOSI Systems 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.36 (3.74) 11.66 
LFUSLittelfuse 0.00 0 per month 1.52  0.21  3.90 (3.24) 8.56 
INGMIngram Micro Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.45 (2.64) 9.17 
ARWArrow Electronics 0.00 0 per month 1.23  0.14  3.50 (2.33) 7.89 
NOVTNovanta 0.00 0 per month 4.04  0.05  6.97 (4.57) 26.00 
WEXWex Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.42  0.05  3.31 (2.42) 8.14 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.74  0.15  4.31 (3.59) 14.20 

Other Forecasting Options for Vontier Corp

For every potential investor in Vontier, whether a beginner or expert, Vontier Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vontier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vontier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vontier Corp's price trends.

Vontier Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vontier Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vontier Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vontier Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vontier Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vontier Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vontier Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vontier Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vontier Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vontier Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vontier Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vontier Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vontier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Vontier Corp

The number of cover stories for Vontier Corp depends on current market conditions and Vontier Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vontier Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vontier Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vontier Corp Short Properties

Vontier Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vontier Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vontier Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vontier Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vontier Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments356.4 M

Additional Tools for Vontier Stock Analysis

When running Vontier Corp's price analysis, check to measure Vontier Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vontier Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Vontier Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vontier Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vontier Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vontier Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.