Yibitas Yozgat Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
YBTAS Stock | TRY 180,253 3,253 1.84% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Yibitas Yozgat Isci on the next trading day is expected to be 173,508 with a mean absolute deviation of 6,859 and the sum of the absolute errors of 425,276. Yibitas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Yibitas Yozgat stock prices and determine the direction of Yibitas Yozgat Isci's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yibitas Yozgat's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yibitas Yozgat to cross-verify your projections. Yibitas |
Most investors in Yibitas Yozgat cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Yibitas Yozgat's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Yibitas Yozgat's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Yibitas Yozgat polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Yibitas Yozgat Isci as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Yibitas Yozgat Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Yibitas Yozgat Isci on the next trading day is expected to be 173,508 with a mean absolute deviation of 6,859, mean absolute percentage error of 74,402,719, and the sum of the absolute errors of 425,276.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yibitas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yibitas Yozgat's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Yibitas Yozgat Stock Forecast Pattern
Backtest Yibitas Yozgat | Yibitas Yozgat Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Yibitas Yozgat Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Yibitas Yozgat's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yibitas Yozgat's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 173,504 and 173,512, respectively. We have considered Yibitas Yozgat's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yibitas Yozgat stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yibitas Yozgat stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 138.0734 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6859.2915 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.039 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 425276.0725 |
Predictive Modules for Yibitas Yozgat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yibitas Yozgat Isci. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yibitas Yozgat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Yibitas Yozgat
For every potential investor in Yibitas, whether a beginner or expert, Yibitas Yozgat's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yibitas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yibitas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yibitas Yozgat's price trends.Yibitas Yozgat Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yibitas Yozgat stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yibitas Yozgat could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yibitas Yozgat by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Yibitas Yozgat Isci Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yibitas Yozgat's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yibitas Yozgat's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Yibitas Yozgat Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yibitas Yozgat stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yibitas Yozgat shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yibitas Yozgat stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yibitas Yozgat Isci entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accumulation Distribution | 0.58 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4819 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
Day Median Price | 183625.0 | |||
Day Typical Price | 182501.0 | |||
Market Facilitation Index | 421.88 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (1,746) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 3253.0 |
Yibitas Yozgat Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yibitas Yozgat's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yibitas Yozgat's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yibitas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 3.38 | |||
Semi Deviation | 3.69 | |||
Standard Deviation | 4.44 | |||
Variance | 19.71 | |||
Downside Variance | 15.8 | |||
Semi Variance | 13.64 | |||
Expected Short fall | (4.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.MSFT | Microsoft | |
CRM | Salesforce | |
GOOG | Alphabet Inc Class C |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yibitas Yozgat to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Yibitas Stock analysis
When running Yibitas Yozgat's price analysis, check to measure Yibitas Yozgat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yibitas Yozgat is operating at the current time. Most of Yibitas Yozgat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yibitas Yozgat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yibitas Yozgat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yibitas Yozgat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing |