REC Silicon (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.19
| 0FS8 Stock | 2.25 0.02 0.90% |
REC |
REC Silicon Target Price Odds to finish over 2.19
The tendency of REC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2.19 in 90 days |
| 2.25 | 90 days | 2.19 | about 40.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of REC Silicon to stay above 2.19 in 90 days from now is about 40.7 (This REC Silicon ASA probability density function shows the probability of REC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of REC Silicon ASA price to stay between 2.19 and its current price of 2.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, REC Silicon will likely underperform. Additionally REC Silicon ASA has an alpha of 0.3482, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). REC Silicon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for REC Silicon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REC Silicon ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.REC Silicon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. REC Silicon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the REC Silicon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold REC Silicon ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of REC Silicon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
REC Silicon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of REC Silicon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for REC Silicon ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| REC Silicon ASA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| REC Silicon ASA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 140.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (457.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86 M. | |
| REC Silicon generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: REC Silicon ASA Announces Extraordinary General Meeting Amid Financial Discussions - TipRanks |
REC Silicon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of REC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential REC Silicon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. REC Silicon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 419.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.3 M | |
| Shares Float | 169.5 M |
REC Silicon Technical Analysis
REC Silicon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. REC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of REC Silicon ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing REC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
REC Silicon Predictive Forecast Models
REC Silicon's time-series forecasting models is one of many REC Silicon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary REC Silicon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about REC Silicon ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about REC Silicon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for REC Silicon ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| REC Silicon ASA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| REC Silicon ASA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 140.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (457.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86 M. | |
| REC Silicon generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: REC Silicon ASA Announces Extraordinary General Meeting Amid Financial Discussions - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for REC Stock Analysis
When running REC Silicon's price analysis, check to measure REC Silicon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REC Silicon is operating at the current time. Most of REC Silicon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REC Silicon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REC Silicon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REC Silicon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.