China Yongda (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.24
| 1CY Stock | EUR 0.24 0.01 4.00% |
China |
China Yongda Target Price Odds to finish over 0.24
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.24 | 90 days | 0.24 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Yongda to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This China Yongda Automobiles probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon China Yongda Automobiles has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Yongda are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Yongda Automobiles is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Yongda Automobiles has an alpha of 0.1247, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Yongda Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Yongda
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Yongda Automobiles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Yongda Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Yongda is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Yongda's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Yongda Automobiles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Yongda within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
China Yongda Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Yongda for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Yongda Automobiles can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Yongda has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| China Yongda had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| China Yongda has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| China Yongda Automobiles has accumulated 1.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 141.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. China Yongda Automobiles has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist China Yongda until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Yongda's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Yongda Automobiles sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Yongda's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 34.0% of China Yongda shares are owned by insiders or employees |
China Yongda Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Yongda's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Yongda's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
China Yongda Technical Analysis
China Yongda's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Yongda Automobiles. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Yongda Predictive Forecast Models
China Yongda's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Yongda's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Yongda's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Yongda Automobiles
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Yongda for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Yongda Automobiles help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Yongda has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| China Yongda had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| China Yongda has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| China Yongda Automobiles has accumulated 1.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 141.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. China Yongda Automobiles has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist China Yongda until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Yongda's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Yongda Automobiles sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Yongda's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 34.0% of China Yongda shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Yongda financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Yongda security.