Copartner Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.80

3550 Stock  TWD 14.80  0.05  0.34%   
Copartner Technology's future price is the expected price of Copartner Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Copartner Technology Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Copartner Technology Backtesting, Copartner Technology Valuation, Copartner Technology Correlation, Copartner Technology Hype Analysis, Copartner Technology Volatility, Copartner Technology History as well as Copartner Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Copartner Technology's target price for which you would like Copartner Technology odds to be computed.

Copartner Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 14.80

The tendency of Copartner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.80 90 days 14.80 
about 69.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Copartner Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.94 (This Copartner Technology Corp probability density function shows the probability of Copartner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Copartner Technology has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Copartner Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Copartner Technology Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Copartner Technology Corp has an alpha of 0.0058, implying that it can generate a 0.005754 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Copartner Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Copartner Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copartner Technology Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Copartner Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2514.8016.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0413.5915.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8414.3915.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7214.8214.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Copartner Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Copartner Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Copartner Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Copartner Technology Corp.

Copartner Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Copartner Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Copartner Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Copartner Technology Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Copartner Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Copartner Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Copartner Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Copartner Technology Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Copartner Technology Corp has accumulated about 1.13 B in cash with (56.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.89.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Copartner Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Copartner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Copartner Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Copartner Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85 M

Copartner Technology Technical Analysis

Copartner Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Copartner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Copartner Technology Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Copartner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Copartner Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Copartner Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Copartner Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Copartner Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Copartner Technology Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Copartner Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Copartner Technology Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Copartner Technology Corp has accumulated about 1.13 B in cash with (56.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.89.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

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When running Copartner Technology's price analysis, check to measure Copartner Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Copartner Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Copartner Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Copartner Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Copartner Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Copartner Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Copartner Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Copartner Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Copartner Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.