Timber Point Alternative Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.86
AIIFX Fund | USD 8.23 0.01 0.12% |
Timber |
Timber Point Target Price Odds to finish below 7.86
The tendency of Timber Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.86 or more in 90 days |
8.23 | 90 days | 7.86 | about 1.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timber Point to drop to $ 7.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.7 (This Timber Point Alternative probability density function shows the probability of Timber Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timber Point Alternative price to stay between $ 7.86 and its current price of $8.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timber Point Alternative has a beta of -0.0426. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Timber Point are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Timber Point Alternative is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Timber Point Alternative has an alpha of 0.0717, implying that it can generate a 0.0717 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Timber Point Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Timber Point
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timber Point Alternative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timber Point Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timber Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timber Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timber Point Alternative, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timber Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Timber Point Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timber Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timber Point Alternative can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The fund holds about 5.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Timber Point Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Timber Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Timber Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Timber Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Timber Point Technical Analysis
Timber Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timber Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timber Point Alternative. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timber Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Timber Point Predictive Forecast Models
Timber Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timber Point's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timber Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Timber Point Alternative
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timber Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Timber Point Alternative help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 5.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Timber Mutual Fund
Timber Point financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timber Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timber with respect to the benefits of owning Timber Point security.
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