Alphageo (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 287.25

ALPHAGEO   287.25  1.85  0.65%   
Alphageo's future price is the expected price of Alphageo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alphageo Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alphageo Backtesting, Alphageo Valuation, Alphageo Correlation, Alphageo Hype Analysis, Alphageo Volatility, Alphageo History as well as Alphageo Performance.
  
Please specify Alphageo's target price for which you would like Alphageo odds to be computed.

Alphageo Target Price Odds to finish over 287.25

The tendency of Alphageo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 287.25 90 days 287.25 
about 10.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alphageo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.72 (This Alphageo Limited probability density function shows the probability of Alphageo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alphageo Limited has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alphageo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alphageo Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alphageo Limited has an alpha of 0.2268, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alphageo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alphageo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alphageo Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
286.04287.83289.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
228.24230.03315.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
279.22281.02282.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
286.86286.86314.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alphageo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alphageo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alphageo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alphageo Limited.

Alphageo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alphageo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alphageo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alphageo Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alphageo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
16.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Alphageo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alphageo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alphageo Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 1.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (61.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.65 M.
Alphageo Limited has accumulated about 630.69 M in cash with (33.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Published on 2025-07-22 070341 - Autocar Professional

Alphageo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alphageo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alphageo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alphageo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Alphageo Technical Analysis

Alphageo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alphageo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alphageo Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alphageo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alphageo Predictive Forecast Models

Alphageo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alphageo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alphageo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alphageo Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alphageo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alphageo Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 1.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (61.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.65 M.
Alphageo Limited has accumulated about 630.69 M in cash with (33.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Published on 2025-07-22 070341 - Autocar Professional

Other Information on Investing in Alphageo Stock

Alphageo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alphageo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alphageo with respect to the benefits of owning Alphageo security.