AviChina Industry (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.46
| AVT Stock | EUR 0.46 0.01 2.13% |
AviChina |
AviChina Industry Target Price Odds to finish over 0.46
The tendency of AviChina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.46 | 90 days | 0.46 | about 8.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AviChina Industry to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.17 (This AviChina Industry Technology probability density function shows the probability of AviChina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AviChina Industry has a beta of 0.0956. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AviChina Industry average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AviChina Industry Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AviChina Industry Technology has an alpha of 0.4348, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AviChina Industry Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AviChina Industry
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AviChina Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AviChina Industry Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AviChina Industry is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AviChina Industry's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AviChina Industry Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AviChina Industry within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AviChina Industry Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AviChina Industry for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AviChina Industry can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AviChina Industry has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AviChina Industry had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AviChina Industry Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AviChina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AviChina Industry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AviChina Industry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.7 B |
AviChina Industry Technical Analysis
AviChina Industry's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AviChina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AviChina Industry Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing AviChina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AviChina Industry Predictive Forecast Models
AviChina Industry's time-series forecasting models is one of many AviChina Industry's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AviChina Industry's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AviChina Industry
Checking the ongoing alerts about AviChina Industry for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AviChina Industry help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AviChina Industry has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AviChina Industry had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AviChina Stock
AviChina Industry financial ratios help investors to determine whether AviChina Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AviChina with respect to the benefits of owning AviChina Industry security.