Brainsway (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 977.8

BWAY Stock  ILA 1,080  58.00  5.68%   
Brainsway's future price is the expected price of Brainsway instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brainsway performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brainsway Backtesting, Brainsway Valuation, Brainsway Correlation, Brainsway Hype Analysis, Brainsway Volatility, Brainsway History as well as Brainsway Performance.
For information on how to trade Brainsway Stock refer to our How to Trade Brainsway Stock guide.
  
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Brainsway Target Price Odds to finish over 977.8

The tendency of Brainsway Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  977.80  in 90 days
 1,080 90 days 977.80 
about 91.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brainsway to stay above  977.80  in 90 days from now is about 91.78 (This Brainsway probability density function shows the probability of Brainsway Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brainsway price to stay between  977.80  and its current price of 1080.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brainsway has a beta of 0.0171 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brainsway average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brainsway will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brainsway has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Brainsway Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brainsway

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brainsway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brainsway's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0761,0801,084
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
916.05919.591,188
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0831,0871,090
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
923.471,0831,243
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brainsway. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brainsway's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brainsway's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brainsway.

Brainsway Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brainsway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brainsway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brainsway, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brainsway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.02
σ
Overall volatility
97.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Brainsway Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brainsway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brainsway can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brainsway had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 29.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.35 M.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Brainsway Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brainsway Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brainsway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brainsway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.9 M

Brainsway Technical Analysis

Brainsway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brainsway Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brainsway. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brainsway Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brainsway Predictive Forecast Models

Brainsway's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brainsway's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brainsway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brainsway

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brainsway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brainsway help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brainsway had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 29.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.35 M.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
When determining whether Brainsway offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Brainsway's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Brainsway Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Brainsway Stock:
Check out Brainsway Backtesting, Brainsway Valuation, Brainsway Correlation, Brainsway Hype Analysis, Brainsway Volatility, Brainsway History as well as Brainsway Performance.
For information on how to trade Brainsway Stock refer to our How to Trade Brainsway Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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When running Brainsway's price analysis, check to measure Brainsway's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brainsway is operating at the current time. Most of Brainsway's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brainsway's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brainsway's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brainsway to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Brainsway's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brainsway is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brainsway's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.