Bystronic (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 389.00

BYS Stock   389.00  6.00  1.52%   
Bystronic's future price is the expected price of Bystronic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bystronic AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bystronic Backtesting, Bystronic Valuation, Bystronic Correlation, Bystronic Hype Analysis, Bystronic Volatility, Bystronic History as well as Bystronic Performance.
  
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Bystronic Target Price Odds to finish over 389.00

The tendency of Bystronic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 389.00 90 days 389.00 
about 13.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bystronic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.77 (This Bystronic AG probability density function shows the probability of Bystronic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bystronic has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bystronic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bystronic AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bystronic AG has an alpha of 0.7295, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bystronic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bystronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bystronic AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
386.44389.00391.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
350.10413.29415.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
411.81414.37416.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
365.48380.63395.79
Details

Bystronic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bystronic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bystronic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bystronic AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bystronic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
59.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Bystronic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bystronic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bystronic AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 939.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 517.4 M.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bystronic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bystronic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bystronic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bystronic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments495.7 M

Bystronic Technical Analysis

Bystronic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bystronic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bystronic AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bystronic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bystronic Predictive Forecast Models

Bystronic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bystronic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bystronic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bystronic AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bystronic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bystronic AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 939.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 517.4 M.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Bystronic Stock Analysis

When running Bystronic's price analysis, check to measure Bystronic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bystronic is operating at the current time. Most of Bystronic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bystronic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bystronic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bystronic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.