Canaccord Genuity Group Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 15.28

CF-PA Preferred Stock  CAD 19.20  0.20  1.05%   
Canaccord Genuity's future price is the expected price of Canaccord Genuity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Canaccord Genuity Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Canaccord Genuity Backtesting, Canaccord Genuity Valuation, Canaccord Genuity Correlation, Canaccord Genuity Hype Analysis, Canaccord Genuity Volatility, Canaccord Genuity History as well as Canaccord Genuity Performance.
  
Please specify Canaccord Genuity's target price for which you would like Canaccord Genuity odds to be computed.

Canaccord Genuity Target Price Odds to finish below 15.28

The tendency of Canaccord Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 15.28  or more in 90 days
 19.20 90 days 15.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canaccord Genuity to drop to C$ 15.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Canaccord Genuity Group probability density function shows the probability of Canaccord Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Canaccord Genuity price to stay between C$ 15.28  and its current price of C$19.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Canaccord Genuity Group has a beta of -0.067 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Canaccord Genuity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Canaccord Genuity Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Canaccord Genuity Group has an alpha of 0.1609, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Canaccord Genuity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Canaccord Genuity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canaccord Genuity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3619.2020.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2816.1221.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4619.2920.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9818.6719.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Canaccord Genuity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Canaccord Genuity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Canaccord Genuity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Canaccord Genuity.

Canaccord Genuity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canaccord Genuity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canaccord Genuity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canaccord Genuity Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canaccord Genuity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Canaccord Genuity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canaccord Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canaccord Genuity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canaccord Genuity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.7 M

Canaccord Genuity Technical Analysis

Canaccord Genuity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Canaccord Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Canaccord Genuity Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Canaccord Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Canaccord Genuity Predictive Forecast Models

Canaccord Genuity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Canaccord Genuity's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Canaccord Genuity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Canaccord Genuity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Canaccord Genuity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Canaccord Genuity options trading.

Additional Tools for Canaccord Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Canaccord Genuity's price analysis, check to measure Canaccord Genuity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canaccord Genuity is operating at the current time. Most of Canaccord Genuity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canaccord Genuity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canaccord Genuity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canaccord Genuity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.