Cosmos Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 139.50

COSMO Stock  TRY 139.50  0.20  0.14%   
Cosmos Yatirim's future price is the expected price of Cosmos Yatirim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cosmos Yatirim Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cosmos Yatirim Backtesting, Cosmos Yatirim Valuation, Cosmos Yatirim Correlation, Cosmos Yatirim Hype Analysis, Cosmos Yatirim Volatility, Cosmos Yatirim History as well as Cosmos Yatirim Performance.
  
Please specify Cosmos Yatirim's target price for which you would like Cosmos Yatirim odds to be computed.

Cosmos Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish over 139.50

The tendency of Cosmos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 139.50 90 days 139.50 
about 31.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cosmos Yatirim to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.44 (This Cosmos Yatirim Holding probability density function shows the probability of Cosmos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cosmos Yatirim has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cosmos Yatirim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cosmos Yatirim Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cosmos Yatirim Holding has an alpha of 0.3171, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cosmos Yatirim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cosmos Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosmos Yatirim Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cosmos Yatirim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
136.39139.70143.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.51116.82153.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
143.47146.77150.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
124.21135.61147.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cosmos Yatirim. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cosmos Yatirim's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cosmos Yatirim's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cosmos Yatirim Holding.

Cosmos Yatirim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cosmos Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cosmos Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cosmos Yatirim Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cosmos Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.32
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.15
σ
Overall volatility
8.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Cosmos Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cosmos Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cosmos Yatirim Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cosmos Yatirim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cosmos Yatirim Holding has accumulated about 651.97 K in cash with (3.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.

Cosmos Yatirim Technical Analysis

Cosmos Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cosmos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cosmos Yatirim Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cosmos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cosmos Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models

Cosmos Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cosmos Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cosmos Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cosmos Yatirim Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cosmos Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cosmos Yatirim Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cosmos Yatirim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cosmos Yatirim Holding has accumulated about 651.97 K in cash with (3.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Check out Cosmos Yatirim Backtesting, Cosmos Yatirim Valuation, Cosmos Yatirim Correlation, Cosmos Yatirim Hype Analysis, Cosmos Yatirim Volatility, Cosmos Yatirim History as well as Cosmos Yatirim Performance.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Cosmos Stock analysis

When running Cosmos Yatirim's price analysis, check to measure Cosmos Yatirim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cosmos Yatirim is operating at the current time. Most of Cosmos Yatirim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cosmos Yatirim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cosmos Yatirim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cosmos Yatirim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Cosmos Yatirim's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cosmos Yatirim is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cosmos Yatirim's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.